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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 47 (Nate) , Major: 65 (Maria) Florida - Any: 75 (Irma) Major: 75 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2007 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Central Tropical Atlantic
      #79227 - Thu Oct 18 2007 10:42 AM

Tropical wave with active convection near 11.5N 51W at 18/15Z moving to the west northwest at 10 knots. Movement should continue to the west northwest as the wave remains in an area of very light wind shear for the next few days. SST of about 28C. Some slow development is possible with this system.
ED


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punkyg
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sun
Posts: 44
Loc: sanford, florida
Re: Area of Interest - Central Tropical Atlantic [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #79228 - Thu Oct 18 2007 02:46 PM Attachment (471 downloads)

Ed is this the wave your talking about? i have it as an attachment.
can you pull up a shear map so i can see. do you expect the shear to get better or worst.


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Central Tropical Atlantic [Re: punkyg]
      #79229 - Fri Oct 19 2007 12:34 AM

Shear has increased a little, but remains on the light side. So far, no additional signs of organization.

Here is a link to the 36 hour shear forecast, which is also available for the 12, 24 and 48 hour timeframes.

Windshear Forecast for 36 Hours

Cheers,
ED


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