sdl
Registered User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2
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Hi there,
I'm a novice at this based in the UK.
I'm hoping to travel to Sarasota, Florida around the 22nd September this year.
I just wondered from people's experience whether there is a high risk of hurricanes around this time.
Greatly appreciate your help.
Saul
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Saul:
The short answer is yes, there is still an elevated risk of hurricane activity in Florida at that time of year, however, the Sarasota/Tampa/Clearwater area has not experienced a hurricane in quite some time. Often in late September through October, Tropical Storms would be a greater risk in the Gulf of Mexico and they often recurve toward the northeast and make landfall on Florida's west coast. Hope this helps you in your planning, however, I wouldn't necessarily cancel a trip because of that threat. The chances of any one small piece of shoreline getting a direct hit from a hurricane are mighty slim. I think that one of our Moderators, HanKFranK, has commented on this in the past.
Cheers,
ED
Added: I should also mention that one of our site meteorologists, Rich B, is from your neck of the woods (U.K.) and may be able to help you with the statistics that you are seeking.
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sdl
Registered User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2
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Thanks, that's helpful.
Saul
(I realize that you are new to the site, but in the future when you want to thank someone, please use the Private Message capability rather than a post. All new Users should make a quick check of the site Rules to become familiar with how the site operates.)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jan 05 2008 11:00 AM)
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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I believe the Florida Record for Number of Hurricanes in a 6 weeks time period would be in 2004.
Looks like 4 strikes to the Florida Peninsula in 2004.
And 1 strike to the Panhandle.
Of the 5 strikes that year , , and Jeanne were Major Hurricanes at Landfall.
3 - 13 August 2004
Trop. Storm Bonnie
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004bonnie.shtml?
9 - 14 August 2004
Hurricane - Rapidly strenghtened to a Cat. 4 at landfall
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004charley.shtml?
25 August - 8 September 2004
Hurricane - Cat. 2 at landfall
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004frances.shtml?
2 - 24 September 2004
Hurricane -Panhandle Strike
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004ivan.shtml?
13 - 28 September 2004
Hurricane Jeanne Cat. 3 at landfall
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004jeanne.shtml?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tracks/2004atl.gif
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