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General Discussion >> Other Weather Events

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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
SSTs revisited
      #79749 - Wed Apr 02 2008 12:15 PM

We DID have a bit of an anomolous day here in West Central Fla yesterday. Almost a summer-type pattern of late afternoon T-Storms, some containing hail and some VERY heavy rains for March. I picked up 4 inches in the rain guage in Plant City, my folks also got 4 in along the south end of Lake Pierce near Lake Wales. This is very odd weather for the first week of April when we are usually in a very dry pattern with little lower level moisture in place. We have really had much more rain and more rain events in the past 2 months than in the past several years. Don't know what it means to hurricanes, but everything in weather connects to something else and I imagine that warmer GOM waters would contribute to low level moisture flow across our area. I know this probably doesn't belong in this thread, but there IS an aspect of discussing the out of the ordinary here. It was just a VERY unusual day for April 1 (fooled ME).

(Post and replies moved to a more appropriate Forum)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Apr 02 2008 07:10 PM)


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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: SSTs revisited [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #79750 - Wed Apr 02 2008 12:32 PM

Yes that was a very atypical day...looks like some cool dry air filterd in over the top of warm moist air at the surface and we had some instability...which seems to be east of the peninsula today...looking out side today also has that summery look and feel to it...more of the same?

--------------------
doug


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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: SSTs revisited [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #79751 - Wed Apr 02 2008 01:20 PM

Quote:

Yes that was a very atypical day...looks like some cool dry air filterd in over the top of warm moist air at the surface and we had some instability...which seems to be east of the peninsula today...looking out side today also has that summery look and feel to it...more of the same?




SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY 12Z RAOB DATA SHOWS A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS (LI ~-9C)
AND RATHER COLD TEMPERATURES (-13.3C AT 500MB) ALOFT. WEAKER WINDS VIA
RAOB DATA SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FASTER ONSET TO THE EAST/WEST COAST SEA
BREEZES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL A POSSIBILITY
GIVEN THE COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND RATHER STEEP LAPSE RATES. IN
ADDITION A WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL SUPPORT SLOW MOVING STORMS...SO SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

The local forcast discussion would lead one to believe we get a second round today, however, in my experience the 'next' day after an unusual event (and one not adequately forcast) is usually not nearly the same. Too hard to get the 'exact' same atmospheric conditions from one day to the next. They WILL tend to forcast the same, just to cover themselves, though. This gets me wondering about the season to come as odd weather is usually NOT isolated for a season....no solid proof of it, but it SEEMS that way.

--------------------
If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2


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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: SSTs revisited [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #79753 - Thu Apr 03 2008 11:52 AM

Well it wasn't like Tuesday...it was worse...much more rain and wind...I work in Ft. Myers and stay there during the week. A Cell went through around 4:30 which had a lot of down draft and a healthy wall cloud. & heavy rain Two hours later in Parrish the same thing happenned there very heavy (2+in/Hr.) rains and high winds.
More today..

--------------------
doug


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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: SSTs revisited [Re: doug]
      #79754 - Thu Apr 03 2008 10:19 PM

Quote:

Well it wasn't like Tuesday...it was worse...much more rain and wind...I work in Ft. Myers and stay there during the week. A Cell went through around 4:30 which had a lot of down draft and a healthy wall cloud. & heavy rain Two hours later in Parrish the same thing happenned there very heavy (2+in/Hr.) rains and high winds.
More today..




And at my end, my prediction came true. We had NO rain yesterday and none really even threatened as it all stay south and SW of us. Today had a cell brush by us...kind of skipped over as they developed. Add 6-8 degrees and is was SOOOO like a mid July day. Can't remember when we have had 3 such days in early April. Warm weather like this will kick those SSTs up rapidly from here on out.

--------------------
If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2


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jeetkunedo
Unregistered




Re: SSTs revisited [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #79767 - Tue Apr 08 2008 02:13 AM

hey lamar in Plant city,

Yeah I just wanted to say that I noticed the rain also, and that it lasted for a few days. And yes it did seem very unusual..

By the way im in Plant City also, and a weather nutt...hahaha


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