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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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JoshuaK
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 153
Loc: Central Florida 28.12N 81.99W
9N36W
      #81148 - Tue Aug 05 2008 05:06 PM

Area of strong convection associated with a tropical wave south of 20W. The 18:15 UTC of the EastAtlantic Floater shows a nice round appearance to the convection, with hints of a rotation within these thunderstorms. I think this area bears watching for the next few days, at least. It certainly appears to be the most organized system out in the Atlantic atm.

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: 9N36W [Re: JoshuaK]
      #81150 - Tue Aug 05 2008 05:36 PM

Well its certainly an active looking wave. It will be moving under easterly shear for a couple of days, but SSTs are about 28C. The wave is embedded in the ITCZ with dry air to its north and south, but on a west northwest heading it should remain in a moist environment. Certainly something to keep an eye on.
ED


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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: 9N36W [Re: JoshuaK]
      #81151 - Tue Aug 05 2008 09:08 PM

I noticed this earlier today too. At least it is something to watch.

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craigm
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 302
Loc: Palm City, Florida 27.17N 80.27W
Re: 9N36W [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #81152 - Tue Aug 05 2008 09:33 PM

SAL is dominant around this wave also.

http://www.weathercarib.com/080805-m8split.jpg

If it stays tucked underneath it we could be watching 92L forming.

I'm keeping an eye on the next MJO pulse which could be moving through this hemisphere in 3 to 4 weeks. Now that were entering the active part of the season it will be interesting to watch mainly because most every thing so far, this season, that has had potential to spin up has done so.

--------------------
Why I'm here:
Frances,Jeanne,Wilma,worked on Andrew damage


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metwannabe
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 92
Loc: NC 36.34N 77.73W
Re: 9N36W [Re: craigm]
      #81153 - Tue Aug 05 2008 10:24 PM

Buoy 41026 at 12n 38w has a NE wind and buoy 13009 at 8n 38w has a SSW wind. Could this be a sign of some rotation with the large cluster of storms in that area? Certainly looks impressive on IR Sat loops.

--------------------
Fran, Bertha, Dennis & Floyd (Tag Team)


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weathernet
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere 80.30N 50.63E
Re: 9N36W [Re: metwannabe]
      #81156 - Tue Aug 05 2008 11:57 PM

This ITZ disturbance really does look nice for the moment. Assuming that the convection does not wane, than would guess that it would start to gain a little latitude tomm. If this were to occur, and convection maintained, than would suspect to be tagged as an invest by mid day. Course, if it gains much latitude, than may have to contend with some increased upper level shear too.

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JoshuaK
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 153
Loc: Central Florida 28.12N 81.99W
Re: 9N36W [Re: weathernet]
      #81162 - Wed Aug 06 2008 11:39 AM

Convection has died down a lot, but with a few scattered storms still present. I'll still be keeping an eye on this area to see if the convection tries to build back up again this evening.

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