Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 63 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2008 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
weathernet
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere 80.30N 50.63E
Models Bear Watching or Just Sleeping Bears?
      #85230 - Mon Oct 06 2008 07:14 AM

Well, shaking off cobwebs here , I cannot help but feel like I am waking from a long slumber after a short "off season", or waking up for the waning moments of the 4th quarter of a very long football game. With little relative activity in the Atlantic basin over the past few weeks, after a busy August, the question now is "what remains for the Atlantic tropical season"?

Pick the model of your choice, but certainly nothing is imminent. Most models not too exhuberent about near tem development, but it is interesting how GFS wants to hang on to beleiving that the Cape Verde Season is not over. Looking east, the GFS want to develop a nice tight system and in about 72 hrs, perhaps bring it over to around 45W. Interesting how the EURO hardly sees this feature, but the somewhat more conservative UK model picks it up, just the same as GFS. On a different note, the MM5 model wants to bring up some sort of sloopy system up into the west/central Caribbean in about 118 hours, and lastly, even the Euro even thinking of some low purculating up in the W. Caribbean in the longer range of 216-240 hrs.

Wait and watch........


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Models Bear Watching or Just Sleeping Bears? [Re: weathernet]
      #85237 - Mon Oct 06 2008 09:18 PM

Models have been a little strange. I'd wait a little longer and see how they do over the next 24 hours.

The upper level low steals the show when watching. Haven't a lot of confidence in the CV system, More curious on the one that forms closer in..

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_east_loop-12.html

thanks.. as always, bears watching...

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1



Extra information
0 registered and 7 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 5567

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center