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Tropical Depression Two in unfavorible conditions, likely to fall apart or dissipate tomorrow.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 18 (Arthur) , in Florida: 3193 (8 y 8 m) (Wilma)
12.9N 49.6W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1012mb
Moving:
W at 18 mph
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Archives >> 2009 News Talkbacks

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 811
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: 'Spurious' NW Caribbean Low ?? [Re: Unregistered User]
      #85597 - Tue Jun 09 2009 02:30 PM

Meanwhile, back to our regularly scheduled programming.

Looks less likely that anything is going to develop in the SW Caribbean this week. Looks like the shear is winning for now. There is still some disorganized convection, but much less than previously.

--------------------
Michael
2014: 8/2/0
2014 Actual: 1/1/0


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Adam S
Unregistered




Re: 'Spurious' NW Caribbean Low ?? [Re: MichaelA]
      #85599 - Tue Jun 09 2009 03:40 PM

What are the chances that this develops and if it does what is the time frame?

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 811
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: 'Spurious' NW Caribbean Low ?? [Re: Unregistered User]
      #85601 - Tue Jun 09 2009 03:54 PM

Right now, the chances are near zero for any further development due to the vertical shear. I don't expect to see anything from this area for now.

--------------------
Michael
2014: 8/2/0
2014 Actual: 1/1/0


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Adam S
Unregistered




Re: 'Spurious' NW Caribbean Low ?? [Re: MichaelA]
      #85603 - Wed Jun 10 2009 02:41 PM

It looks like the area is getting better organized this afternoon. Does anyone think this low may develop yet?

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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 819
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: 'Spurious' NW Caribbean Low ?? [Re: Unregistered User]
      #85604 - Wed Jun 10 2009 04:14 PM

Adam:
See the preceeding posts regarding "shear". the shear can be seen on the visible satellite Carribean Images by the streaks of clouds from the SW to the NE.
There is generally too much shear throughout the tropics for any development over the immediate future.

--------------------
doug


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Beach
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 187
Loc: Cocoa Beach/Banana River
Complex Crap off of Florida [Re: MikeC]
      #85619 - Thu Jun 18 2009 07:25 AM

So there is a 1012 low off the coast of Florida.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html

Positioned between two Highs.
Here is the closest Bouy:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41010

Any chance we can get some substantial rain from this?

Edited by danielw (Fri Jun 19 2009 03:57 AM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 811
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Complex off of Florida [Re: Beach]
      #85621 - Thu Jun 18 2009 12:07 PM

None, nada, zip. We're on the SW side and all it will do is funnel the dry air down over the state. Afternoon T-storms will prevail over the interior moving toward the Gulf coast later today. Until that high over the Gulf either dissolves or moves to the East, it will continue to be hot and mostly dry.

--------------------
Michael
2014: 8/2/0
2014 Actual: 1/1/0


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Ed in Va
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 489
Loc: 36.02N 75.67W
Re: Complex off of Florida [Re: MichaelA]
      #85623 - Thu Jun 18 2009 01:34 PM

Various model take storms of the EC and then have them make a loop back towards the coast.. Most likely not tropical, but the NOGAPS one is interesting as it takes the system into an area where there is some Gulf Stream support
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.cg...;hour=Animation

--------------------
Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!


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Beach
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 187
Loc: Cocoa Beach/Banana River
Do you think they will name it? [Re: MikeC]
      #85639 - Mon Jun 22 2009 04:55 PM

Of coarse I'm speaking of the Low closing in on the Mexican Coast in the Western BOC.
NHC has listed it as a INVEST:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml
Here is the closet Bouy Link:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055


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