Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Atlentic Basin Remains Quiet and Next Hurricane Season Starts on June 1, 2017.
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 60 (Matthew) , Major: 4062 (11 y 1 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 96 (Hermine) Major: 4062 (11 y 1 m) (Wilma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2009 News Talkbacks

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)
hogrunr
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 153
Loc: Spring, TX 30.07N 95.51W
Re: Western GOM and other areas [Re: Thunderbird12]
      #86916 - Thu Sep 10 2009 03:01 PM

Quote:

It will be interesting to see what happens over the NW Gulf and areas inland this weekend. Given proximity to land, any sort of major tropical development seems unlikely, but a short fuse system could develop if any given thunderstorm complex goes upscale. Some sort of hybrid or warm core low pressure could even spin up over land close to the coast, given the large amount of convection that is forecast to occur in a very tropical airmass. In either case, the main impact should be heavy rain. If a well organized surface low develops (tropical or otherwise), there will be a threat of excessive flooding rain in some areas and an elevated risk of tornadoes on the eastern flank of the system.




We may already have a hint at something. It's also possible I'm just reading too much into this satellite, time will tell. Just SSE of Brownsville, TX, approx. 26 N, 97.5 W, there is a burst of convection accompanied by some sort of hint of circulation. I can't tell if it is Upper or Lower level yet, or if it will end up being anything more than just convection.

Rainbow Sat

Water Vapor Sat

Very evident on WV loop.

Also another good look is the Brownsville Radar.

NWS Radar


AFDBRO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
124 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW CURRENTLY IN THE VICINITY OF DEL RIO WHILE AT THE SFC
LOW PRESSURE SEEMS TO BE STARTING TO WRAP UP NEAR LRD. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT ONSHORE AT THE SFC ALONG THE COAST WITH WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT.

Edited by hogrunr (Thu Sep 10 2009 03:58 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged: Fri
Posts: 384
Loc: Opelika, AL 32.71N 85.23W
New System in Gulf of Mexico? [Re: JoshuaK]
      #86917 - Thu Sep 10 2009 10:55 PM

11/03Z - Good evening! All eyes are on the TX/Gulf of Mexico coast for what apears to be a couple of lows to develop; one over land, the second over water in a couple of days. All this season winds aloft have not been favorable at sustaining tropical systems and this system is no exception as whatever low does form is likely to drag a cold front and later in the forecast period become a frontal wave over the Mid-TN valley.

Interesting weather features beyond 48 hours to keep an eye on are - the upper ridge is forecasted to be in place over Florida and the Gulf of Mexico with a strong upper low over Eastern Canada extending southward to the Mid Atlantic and Tennessee Valley.

And...SSTs along the future course of Fred's low level center are 27C (81F) and 29C (84F), and an upper ridge is expected to build along this track in the days ahead so while it's demise is soon upon it; who knows!

Fred may or may not be dead!

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 21021

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center