Epicyear2010
Registered User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 3
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Did anybody catch that wave that came off Africa? Looks impressive, and it is well south of the SAL. Wind shear is decent. Something to watch imo.
(Post moved to the approppriate Forum.)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Jun 02 2010 10:42 PM)
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hogrunr
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 153
Loc: Spring, TX
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It was a nice looking wave, the convection has died down drastically overnight, but I would think it would have a chance at that flaring back up during the day today. There was quite a large area of dry air that invaded the wave from the north and caused the convection to die. Regardless of convection though, as noted by the during this morning's Tropical Weather Discussion, everything else is in place for it to stay a tropical wave for a while:
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N21W TO 3N23W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS EVIDENT IN THE FIRST VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGES OF THE DAY. A RELATIVE VORTICITY MAXIMUM IS
NOTED NEAR THE WAVE AXIS. WAVE ALSO COINCIDES WITH A DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE MAXIMUM EVIDENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 20W-22W.
If it can stay below the SAL, it is in relatively light shear (10 knots) currently, and would have a good chance at staying organized for a while. There is some much stronger shear ahead of it, but not sure what will be present when it gets to that point.
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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kinda curious... appears the long rang is hinting that things may become active around the 20th of June.. not sure if this is that wave were watching now over the leeward islands or not... or another wave moving threw carb. up towards the GOM... but it does seem like the is showing signs that it may about to become active in the atlantic?
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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At 16/21Z a weak low level swirl was noted near 15N 53W moving to the west northwest. All remaining convection is displaced well to the east by the strong windshear.
ED
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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At 17/18Z the low-level swirl of Invest 92L was still evident near 16.0N 58.6W moving to the west to west northwest at 15mph. Convection has maintained throughout the day and is now aligned with the eastern quadrant of the swirl. The system is in the middle of the shear zone and as long as the general movement remains to the west northwest, the system will remain in the shear zone for at least two more days. Squally weather likely in the Leeward Islands tonight and tomorrow.
ED
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 330
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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What about the wave moving off Africa this afternoon mets, anything to it ?
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 330
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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Nice area of convection out east of the Lewards, any chance of it getting into the Bahamas 2-3 days from now? Doesn`t seem to be moving that quickly on a NW direction. Maybe a fish spinner.
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