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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 44 (Nate) , Major: 62 (Maria) Florida - Any: 71 (Irma) Major: 71 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

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weathernet
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere 80.30N 50.63E
95LTrack & Intensity Forecast
      #89637 - Wed Sep 22 2010 01:20 PM

12Z GFS run has just come out. Cannot say I have seen this before, but at 126 hours we seem to have not one, but two developing "lows" in the W. Caribbean approx. 5 degrees apart ( east to west ). At about 192 hours out, each 999mb ( or lower ) low begin a process to coalesce. The former "developing" center of 95L appears to almost merge into the more Eastern Low at approx. 80 longitude, expand as one really large system and proceed to move due north through Cuba, S. Florida, and continuing northward along the coast.

(Post moved to the appropriate Forum - long-term track & intensity forecasts belong here.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Sep 22 2010 05:30 PM)


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BryanG
Registered User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 6
Loc: North of Tampa, FL
Re: 95LTrack & Intensity Forecast [Re: weathernet]
      #89648 - Thu Sep 23 2010 11:08 AM

So I should take out the Generator and make sure it fires up this weekend, is that what I am hearing?

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: 95LTrack & Intensity Forecast [Re: BryanG]
      #89652 - Thu Sep 23 2010 11:25 AM

This system is going to be a slow mover so you will have plenty of time if that becomes necessary - but I'm going to tell you 'yes' only because that is something that should be done before the start of every hurricane season if you live in a high risk area.
ED


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BryanG
Registered User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 6
Loc: North of Tampa, FL
Re: 95LTrack & Intensity Forecast [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #89656 - Thu Sep 23 2010 12:06 PM

Thanks Ed ... I did pull it out in June, but that was a long time ago

I love what you guys do here, keep up the good work!


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