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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 44 (Nate) , Major: 62 (Maria) Florida - Any: 72 (Irma) Major: 72 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2010 News Talkbacks

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
The Basin is Quiet
      #90086 - Fri Nov 12 2010 06:41 PM

Update - Sunday November 14, 2010 9:30PM EST
With dry air entrainment from the northwest, conditions no longer favor development of 94L in the Caribbean Sea and the Atlantic basin is quiet.
ED

Update - Saturday November 13, 2010 9PM EST
At 14/00Z, Invest 94L was stationary at 11N 77W and looking very anemic. System looking very disorganized with convection scattered and decreasing.
ED

Update - Saturday November 13, 2010 10AM EST
Invest 94L continues to show signs of better organization as the system drifts westward at 3 knots. At 13/15Z the system was located near 11N 77W and a slow west to west northwest motion is still anticipated over the next few days.
ED

Original Post - Friday November 12, 2010 7PM EST
Active but disorganized tropical wave (Invest 94L) located halfway between Jamaica and Panama near 11N 76W at 12/23Z moving slowly west at 4 knots. A narrow band of light windshear exists over and to the west of the system and there is a chance for additional organization and development over the next few days if the system continues to drift westward. Stronger shear exists to the immediate north, but some of the models slowly develop this system that exited northwestern Columbia.

Elsewhere the basin seems to have settled in for its long winter rest.
ED

Invest 94L Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 94L


stormplotthumb_22.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 94L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 94L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 94L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 94L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 94L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Nov 14 2010 09:40 PM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Except for Invest 94L the Basin is Quiet [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90087 - Fri Nov 12 2010 06:49 PM

It seems that this season is not willing to die just yet. Sea surface temps in the Caribbean are still quite warm and it does look like the NHC thinks this system could develop further. Something to keep an eye on, at least. I'm here until the "bitter" end of the season and usually continue to check-in from time to time during the "off" season.

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Except for Invest 94L the Basin is Quiet [Re: MichaelA]
      #90088 - Mon Nov 15 2010 03:29 PM

A little interesting today, looking at the Floater loops. There seems to be a broad low level spin and a tighter mid-level spin centered near 12.5N; 76.5W. Convection is removed from the "center" though.

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL 32.71N 85.23W
Re: The Basin is Quiet [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90089 - Tue Nov 16 2010 07:51 PM

Yep...the season is nearing an end and with the exception of two areas; one is the SW Caribbean where little remains of a disturbance and the other is a dynamic (extra-tropical) low and corresponding frontal boundaries centered near 38N 48W; otherwise shear aloft is too strong and westerlies generally near 16N with an upper high center near Jamaica and Haiti.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: The Basin is Quiet [Re: berrywr]
      #90090 - Wed Nov 17 2010 09:04 PM

It sure would be nice to have that moisture in the NW Caribbean move up over Florida though. Sure could use some rain around here.

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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