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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

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vineyardsaker
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 144
Loc: New Smyrna Beach, FL 29.03N 80.93W
Emily Question
      #90979 - Tue Aug 02 2011 11:48 AM

What kind of potential threat would Emily pose to East-Central Florida and, specifically, Orlando International Airport by Saturday around noon?

Thanks!

(Post moved to a more appropriate Forum.)

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Charley(eyewall), Ivan, Jeanne, Dennis, Wilma

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Aug 02 2011 11:55 AM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Emily Question [Re: vineyardsaker]
      #90983 - Tue Aug 02 2011 12:11 PM

It's much too early to tell. If Emily tracks east of the state as a moderate TS, then the peninsula would be on the weak side of the storm. Orlando is a bit inland from the coast, so based on current information (which isn't very reliable), I'd expect scattered tropical showers with slightly gusty winds in the Orlando area on Saturday. That can and, most likely, will change significantly over the next few days.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 15/10/6


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3884
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Emily Question [Re: vineyardsaker]
      #90984 - Tue Aug 02 2011 12:12 PM

Quote:

What kind of potential threat would Emily pose to East-Central Florida and, specifically, Orlando International Airport by Saturday around noon?

Thanks!

(Post moved to a more appropriate Forum.)




Nothing really based on the odds, if what the current models and forecast track shows verifies..,. Ie, if it stays east,

If it crosses the peninsula, it would be a lot more. It honestly is too early to say and I would be fooling you otherwise. The future of Emily is still cloudy, until it gets near or over Haiti/Dominican republic it is virtually impossible to give you a real answer with a straight face.

I'd recommend checking out NWS Melbourne's discussions, or see the website for them in the meantime.


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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Emily Question [Re: MikeC]
      #91010 - Tue Aug 02 2011 06:14 PM

I would think through Sunday/Monday you are probably okay ...however, if other flights are cancelled the connecting flights might make for annoying travel. I would think for now Orlando is okay, but you'd have to check back.

Good luck

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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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vineyardsaker
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 144
Loc: New Smyrna Beach, FL 29.03N 80.93W
Re: Emily Question [Re: LoisCane]
      #91017 - Tue Aug 02 2011 09:13 PM

Thank you all for your answers and insights. I do realize that Emily is too early to call, but its good to hear what you guys can guesstimate about it anyway!

I am picking up my 14 year old son in Orlando International returning to FL after a 5 week stay with my family in Argentina and I just hope that he will not land somewhere else in FL as the poor kid will be exhausted by the long flight.

Looking at the NHC graph, I get a feeling that Emily's track is moving out into the Atlantic in which case it might turn into a non-event. We shall see.

Many thanks to you all!!

--------------------
Charley(eyewall), Ivan, Jeanne, Dennis, Wilma


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