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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Watching Wave in Central Atlantic and Low off Florida
      #91222 - Sun Aug 07 2011 08:20 AM

2 PM EDT 10 August 2011 Update
92L is still being tracked, and odds currently favor a recurve out to sea, but there is still several days to watch this system. Recon is tentatively scheduled to check it out Saturday.

Another area, close to Florida with no invest tag yet, is moving generally east and northeast will be watched, but impacts to land also seem slim.


7 AM EDT 9 August 2011 Update
Emily has one last shot at regeneration in the Central Atlantic it seems, with a 20% chance of re-development. It is still generally heading out to sea and is only a minor shipping threat.

The wave east of Africa fell apart and is no longer being tracked as invest 92L, but the area associated with it will be monitored to see what occurs as it moves toward the Caribbean into next week.

7 AM EDT 8 August 2011 Update
Emily has been downgraded to an open wave once more, and is no longer being tracked.

The only thing worth watching at the moment is the wave starting to enter the Central Atlantic, called 92L. This system may develop later this week, but in the next day or so, not likely.

Other areas to watch later in the week that don't have much chance are a weak wave east of the Leeward islands, and anything dropping into the Gulf or Atlantic from over the US. Neither which are likely to do much. There are signs activity will pick up some toward the end of the month though.

But for the next few days, it is pretty quiet in the Atlantic tropics.


Original Update
Tropical Depression Emily is heading generally out to sea, and is looking fairly ragged, it is likely to become an open wave again, or merge with a front. Emily is essentially over with.

In the far east Atlantic we have a new wave off Africa to watch during the week, this system designated 92L by the best track system, is likely to head west. Development in the near term is unlikely, but as it reaches the central and western Atlantic it gets a bit higher. We'll track it this week, as recurve chances are about 50/50 right now. See the lounge for more speculation on this.



92L (Mid Atlantic Wave) Event Related Links


float6latest.gif stormplotthumb_6.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=6 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 92L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 92L


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 92L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 92L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 92L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 92L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 92L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



93L (East Atlantic Wave) Event Related Links


float7latest.gif stormplotthumb_7.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=7 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 93L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 93L


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 93L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 93L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 93L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 93L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 93L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View


Long term wide area Water Vapor Satellite recording of 92L(flhurricane)


Martinique Radar Recording Emily/91L Approach (flhurricane)

Long term recording of Emily Floater Water Vapor Imagery (flhurricane)
Long term recording of Emily Floater Visible Imagery (flhurricane)

Long term recording of Caribbean Water Vapor Satellite Imagery of Emily (flhurricane)


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