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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2268
Loc: Melbourne, FL
A New Year and a New Season
      #92438 - Sun Jan 01 2012 03:08 PM

Last year the initial thoughts were for a less busy season but that was not the case. Hurricane season starts on June 1st and once again initial SST projections suggest a quieter season, but after last year, anything is possible.

We'll keep an eye on the Atlantic Basin during the long quiet time of Winter and Spring just in case out-of-season activity pops up.
ED


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Edited by MikeC (Sun Feb 05 2012 01:52 PM)

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Ljefferson
Registered User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1
Loc: Sebastian,FL
Re: A New Year and a New Season [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92455 - Tue Feb 28 2012 03:15 PM

We have to be ready.Because florida got drenched with storms in 04 and that wad a weak elnino.And Andrew hit.during a elnino

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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sat
Posts: 996
Loc: Maryland 38.98N 76.50W
Re: A New Year and a New Season [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92459 - Tue Mar 27 2012 04:35 PM

A new season and a new Saffir-Simpson scale.

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS) is undergoing a minor modification for 2012 in order to resolve awkwardness associated with conversions among the various units used for wind speed in advisory products. The change broadens the Category 4 wind speed range by one mile per hour (mph) at each end of the range, yielding a new range of 130-156 mph. This change does not alter the category assignments of any storms in the historical record, nor will it change the category assignments for future storms.

Changes:

Category 3 now ends at 129mph (previously was 130mph)
Category 4 now is 130mph to 156mph (previously was 131 to 155mph)
Category 5 is now 157mph and higher (previously started at 156mph)

Note that if you used Knots before, there is no change.

Source: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3457
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
2012 Colorado State Forecast [Re: Random Chaos]
      #92463 - Wed Apr 04 2012 05:02 AM

The 2012 Colorado State April Hurricane Forecast is due out today.
The preliminary version released on March 21 wasn't particularly surprising so the newer version may be just that.
A Newer Version.

I have noticed an El Nino pattern beginning to develop off of the South American Coast over the last few weeks. To what level it will develop is the question of the week.

Today's April Hurricane Forecast and the March update to the CSU Forecast and other Forecasts may be viewed at the following link.
http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/

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