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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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IMTechspec
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 15
Loc: Orlando
Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
      #93165 - Wed Aug 08 2012 10:14 AM

Any thoughts on the ULL and Tropical Wave interacting near Hispaniola?
The upper level winds are a little complex, in part due to TS Ernesto, but not totally hostile.

Maybe it is just some entertainment for today, and will wash out later.


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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 941
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: IMTechspec]
      #93168 - Wed Aug 08 2012 10:59 AM

It means lots of rain for the Greater Antilles in the immediate future. but that's about it.

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doug


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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: doug]
      #93173 - Wed Aug 08 2012 09:55 PM

You don't write off patterns.... there's a pattern going on here it's clear...

The wave before Ernesto followed the pattern... others will..

Remnants of Florence are not far behind the wave/ull trough... then 92... something so close in should be watched. A week or so ago a model spun up a storm in the Bahamas. Sometimes what the models hint at is more important than any one area... either way, interesting.

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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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weatherhead
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sun
Posts: 12
Loc: Florida
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: LoisCane]
      #93192 - Fri Aug 10 2012 11:30 AM

There is a stationary cluster of thunderstorms just S of the ULL in the Caribbean. It has been persistent for almost the last 24 hours. No current circulation though. Just something to watch since it's close to home.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-vis.html

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Claims Adjuster


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mikethewreck
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 51
Loc: Treasure Coast FL 27.60N 80.41W
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: LoisCane]
      #93193 - Fri Aug 10 2012 11:45 AM

The showers have persisted over south of Hispaniola for a while. It looks like SSTs are low in the area, is there upwelling going on?

Looks like it may be a wet weekend in Florida with all the energy streaming northward.

--------------------
Earliest memory Hurricane Cleo!
Went under Hurricane Gloria!


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: IMTechspec]
      #93198 - Sat Aug 11 2012 09:46 AM

Upper level low south of western Cuba near 18N 85W at 11/13Z could eventually develop a surface reflection. Convection is increasing and SST is about 28C. System is currently drifting north or north northwest. Just another area to monitor.
ED


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srquirrely
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 32
Loc: SARASOTA 27.27N 82.53W
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #93200 - Sat Aug 11 2012 01:23 PM

There's a fierce looking little surface low visible on the latest loops just east of Isle of Youth heading north...

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srquirrely
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 32
Loc: SARASOTA 27.27N 82.53W
Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola [Re: srquirrely]
      #93201 - Sat Aug 11 2012 01:37 PM Attachment (255 downloads)

1645Z: see attachment

Edited by srquirrely (Sat Aug 11 2012 01:38 PM)


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