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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
GFS model
      #93932 - Wed Sep 05 2012 09:32 AM

Since this covers several storms and possibilities, I'm dropping this post here.

The 06Z GFS run is rather interesting today. The biggest attention getter is how it handles Leslie and Michael showing a large and fairly strong Leslie moving northward and eventually absorbing the much smaller and weaker Michael and becoming a rather massive and strong North Atlantic storm centered between Greenland and Labrador at the end of the forecast run. It also shows another Cape Verde storm developing and moving westward, but it hasn't really latched on to 90L as yet, or it simply doesn't develop it. The 00Z NGP does seem to want to develop 90L into a rather weak system and, eventually move it toward the central Gulf coast of Florida.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 15/10/6


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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: GFS model [Re: MichaelA]
      #93943 - Wed Sep 05 2012 09:30 PM

Models earlier in the week showed this scenario yet there was no Michael on the maps so it was hard to see what was going on in the model.

Now it makes sense.

That's the beauty of models in that they see things we don't always see days out.

Speaking on a smaller system developing and being swept in and up with Leslie as it moved NE

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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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