Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 40 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2012 Storm Forum

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Concern - Hurricane Sandy
      #94026 - Sat Oct 20 2012 10:45 AM

Invest 99L is an active tropical wave in the central Caribbean Sea. At 20/12Z the system was located at 14.6N 72.8W with pressure at 1008MB and a westerly movement at 10 knots. The system is still poorly organized although some slow development is possible. On the plus side, SSTs are at 29.5C, but the primary factor against the system is increasingly significant westerly windshear over the Greater Antilles.
ED

(Title changed to reflect current storm status.)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
WeatherNut
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 412
Loc: Atlanta, GA 33.81N 84.34W
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 99L in the Caribbean Sea [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94027 - Sat Oct 20 2012 03:39 PM

NDBC Station 42058 is reporting a pressure of 1007.3 and falling rapidly. Not much in the way of winds reported though. Wind shear looks to currently be rather low as 99L in under an anticyclone right now. Just saw NHC upped it to 60%. Its amazing that models have been predicting this for over 8-10days...to varying degrees. With hurricane season, it aint over till its over...

--------------------
Born into Cleo (64)...been stuck on em ever since


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Sandy [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94060 - Wed Oct 24 2012 12:19 AM

Tropical Storm Sandy continues to intensify and is moving north at 9 knots. At 24/00Z, Sandy was located about 185 miles south of Jamaica and the tropical cyclone is expected to make landfall on Jamaica Wednesday afternoon as a Cat I Hurricane and continue to move north over eastern Cuba early Thursday morning and continue its northern track into the Bahamas Thursday evening. Baroclinic influences from an approaching trough are expected to expand the windfield and reintensify the system as it exits northeast Cuba - however the system may well retain tropical or subtropical characteristics into the weekend.

The following Watches and `Warnings are in effect:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

Because of the anticipation of an expanding windfield, a Tropical Storm Watch may be issued for the southeast Florida peninsula and the Keys later Wednesday morning. NHC suggests that interests in Southern and Central Florida should monitor the progress of Sandy. Heavy rains and life-threatening flash floods can be expected in Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic and eastern Cuba. Storm surge of 5 to 7 feet is possible in portions of the Bahamas along and near the center, and high waves and the potential for significant beach erosion will exist along the east coast of Florida from Friday through the weekend.
ED


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Sandy [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94065 - Wed Oct 24 2012 11:36 AM

Sandy, located about 65 miles south of Kingston Jamaica, was upgraded to a hurricane at 24/15Z. Sustained winds are now at 70 knots and movement is to the north northeast at 11 knots. Some additional intensification is possible prior to landfall on Jamaica this afternoon. The Tropical Storm Watch for southeast Florida has been extended northward to the Brevard/Volusia County line and a Hurricane Watch has been issued for the northern Bahamas.

The following Watches/Warnings are now in effect:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO OCEAN REEF
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY

Weather Conditions at Kingston, Jamaica

Weather Conditions at Montego Bay, Jamaica

Weather Conditions at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba

Weather Conditions at Havana, Cuba

Weather Conditions at Georgetown, Exuma, Bahamas

Weather Conditions at Freeport, Bahamas

Weather Conditions at Nassau, Bahamas

ED


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Sandy [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94109 - Fri Oct 26 2012 10:24 AM

At 26/14Z Hurricane Sandy (probably no longer a hurricane) was located on the east shore of Greater Abaco Island in the northwest Bahamas drifting slowly northwest - perhaps even a little north northwest. Windshear has exposed the low level circulation of the system. The upper level outflow that had been over the hurricane has been displaced to the east northeast while the most significant convection is to the northwest of the center and the area of convection is expanding westward as the system takes on more of a subtropical appearance.

Global models still reintensify the system and bring it into the northeast in the late Monday to early Tuesday timeframe - probably as a hybrid storm.
ED


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1



Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 5562

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center