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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Andrea in Eastern Gulf
      #94392 - Thu Jun 06 2013 01:32 AM

On Wednesday evening a weak area of low pressure located about 285 miles southwest of Tampa in the Gulf of Mexico intensified into Tropical Storm Andrea. At midnight Andrea was still a minimal tropical storm located about 260 miles west southwest of Tampa and the system was moving to the north to north northeast at 7mph. Maximum winds are 40mph with higher gusts in squalls. Only slight additional intensification is expected before Andrea makes landfall at or just north of Cedar Key late Thursday afternoon.

The main threat to Florida from Andrea will be from scattered heavy rain squalls as a main feeder band, currently hitting southwest Florida moves to the north and northeast overnight. Showers and possible thunderstorms on Thursday starting early in the morning and continuing into the evening. A chance does exist for isolated tornadoes from early Thursday morning through Thursday evening. Areas that receive heavier rains could experience localized flooding on Thursday.
ED

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Andrea in Eastern Gulf [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94421 - Thu Jun 06 2013 12:22 PM

TS Andrea intensified earlier this morning and now has 60mph winds with higher gusts - the higher gusts primarily in the main feeder band. At 06/16Z Andrea was located in the Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles west northwest of Tampa, Florida, moving to the northeast at 15mph. Central pressure has dropped to 997MB. With more of a turn to the northeast than originally expected, landfall should be near Cedar Key later this afternoon with no additional increase in strength. Storm surge prior to landfall up to 5 feet on the Florida west coast north of Tampa Bay to Apalachee Bay. Andrea should be located on or near the central coast of South Carolina as a weaker tropical storm by midday on Friday.

While it remains within range, the center of Andrea can be tracked on the long range scans of Tampa NWS radar at:

Tampa Long Range Radar Loop

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected over the Florida peninsula with the possibility of higher amounts in northern Florida and southeastern Georgia. Isolated tornadoes are still possible over much of the Florida peninsula through late Thursday evening.
ED

From the NHC at 06/15Z:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

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