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Nothing currently in the Atlantic Basin, for Late October the West Caribbean is usually where to monitor.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 10 (Nate) , Major: 28 (Maria) Florida - Any: 38 (Irma) Major: 38 (Irma)
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
GOM Upper Level Low
      #94468 - Mon Jul 01 2013 12:45 AM

A vigorous late season mid-continental trough has pinched off an upper level low in the Gulf of Mexico near 24N 88.5W at 01/04Z. The feature is drifting to the east southeast at about 5 knots and will continue to pump abundant tropical moisture over the Florida peninsula for most of this week.
ED


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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 941
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: GOM Upper Level Low [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94469 - Mon Jul 01 2013 12:38 PM

Interesting...seems to be transitioning from trough to a broad elongated circulation. Nothing at this point to indicate a reflection develpoing on the surface, particularly south and southwest of the focus point...It is forcast to be around at least through Tuesday...umbrellas required in W. Central Florida

--------------------
doug


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Fairhopian
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 26
Loc: 30.53N 87.89W
Re: GOM Upper Level Low [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94470 - Mon Jul 01 2013 01:50 PM

I am going to go out on a limb here and say that the ULL is no longer drifting East, rather it seems to be either clinging to the trough (circulation roughly centered at 27N, 87W) or may even now be moving in the opposite direction toward that stationary front which appears to be retreating earlier than projected to the NW. Still cannot make out anything at the lower level though, to show this feature could ever be anything more than an aggressive homegrown wannabe. Anyone see anything conducive to development closer to the surface?

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