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Tropical Depression Dorian Again - Post Tropical Tomorrow
      #94646 - Thu Aug 01 2013 08:09 PM

Update - Saturday, August 3rd, 11AM
Aided by the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, the remnant circulation of Dorian regenerated into a Tropical Depression in the early hours of Saturday morning about 40 miles east of Melbourne, Florida. TD Dorian is now visible as a low-level swirl well to the east of Jacksonville that is moving to the northeast with most of the convection displaced to the south of the center. Strongest winds are almost at tropical storm force in the convection south through southeast of the center but a slow weakening is expected as TD Dorian continues to track off to the northeast. Dorian should become a post-tropical low later this evening and and merge with a trough on Sunday. Since no land areas are influenced by the stronger winds, a Tropical Storm Watch is not required.
ED

Original Post - Thursday, August 1st, 4PM
The remnants of Tropical Storm Dorian are once again being tracked as invest 91L, and recon is tentatively scheduled to venture out there tomorrow. It has a very small chance of redevelopment before it could get to Florida. Either way it will likely just bring some more rainfall.

The GFS model is the only one that brings the "center" onshore, but the majority keep it just offshore before it turns north and away.

East Florida Links <html><a href="http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_lite_loop.php" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/Loop/southeast_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Southeast Composite Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_lite.php"

onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/RadarImg/southeast.gif\>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a></html>) South to North:

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>BYW<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>BYW<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Key West, FL Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>BYW<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>BYW<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>AMX<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>AMX<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Miami, FL Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>AMX<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>AMX<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MLB<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MLB<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Melbourne, FL Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MLB<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MLB<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>JAX<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>JAX<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Jacksonville, FL Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>JAX<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>JAX<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>


Caribbean/South East Coast Satellite Imagery


SFWMD Radar Loop of South Florida with storm Track


SFWMD Full Florida Radar Loop with Storm Track


Area Forecast Discussions: FLorida Keys - Miami/South Florida - Melbourne/East Central Florida - Jacksonville/Northeast Florida -




Tropical Depression Dorian Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2013/float4latest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2013/stormplotthumb_4.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2013&storm=4 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Dorian
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Dorian


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Dorian (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Dorian (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Dorian

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Dorian
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Dorian -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Aug 03 2013 03:09 PM)

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