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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 59 (Maria) Florida - Any: 69 (Irma) Major: 69 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Humberto Forecast Lounge
      #94768 - Sun Sep 08 2013 12:59 AM

This is the lounge discussion Forum for Invest 91L currently east southeast of the Cape Verde Islands.
The system is still somewhat small but convection seems to be well established and SSTs of 28C would support additional development. A zone of westerly windshear exists to the north of the system. Some of the models suggest development and recurvature while others like the GFS keep the system on more of a westerly to west northwesterly track under a strengthening Atlantic ridge.

This is the place for your long-term projections on the system that might eventually become Humberto.
ED

(Title updated to reflect current system status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Sep 09 2013 09:34 AM)


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Humberto Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94773 - Mon Sep 09 2013 09:38 AM

TS Humberto currently south of the southern Cape Verde Islands moving to the west at 10 knots. An upper level low is expected to push southwestward toward the Canary Islands and alter the east Atlantic ridge. This change in the steering currents should move Humberto more to the northwest in a couple of days. Humberto could eventually become the seasons first hurricane.
ED


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