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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 59 (Maria) Florida - Any: 69 (Irma) Major: 69 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2015 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
95L in Appalachee Bay Area
      #95531 - Mon Aug 03 2015 08:44 AM

The system near Appalachee Bay (95L) is a sheared developing system, that is currently over land. Most of the convection moving to the south is bringing convergence/divergence rains to the extreme around Tampa Bay northward (some of them are flooding), parts of which are receiving flooding rains this morning. Some of the rain will drift into parts of Central and North Florida today as well. The worst flooding, so far, was reported to be near the Anclote River (Palm Harbor/Tarpon Springs).

The main low pressure area is over north central Florida (roughly between Gainesville and Cross City at 9AM), but most of the rain is south and west of this area. Flooding rainfall may occur in these areas throughout the day. This system was attempting to develop. If the system makes it offshore later tonight or tomorrow it has another small window to develop over the Atlantic, but that will likely be short-lived also.



Even though it's technically not a tropical storm/depression, many of the same effects from a slow moving system (rain, and more rain) will be felt along certain area.

Invest 95L Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 95L


stormplotthumb_4.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 95L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 95L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 95L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 95L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 95L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Hurricane Guillermo was located at 15.5N 145.0W or 720 miles east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, and 935 miles east southeast of Honolulu, Oahu. Movement is to the west northwest at 9 knots with a central pressure of 981MB. Current sustained winds are at 75 knots, however, Guillermo should slowly weaken and pass over or near the main Hawaiian Islands on Wednesday and Thursday as a weakening Tropical Storm.
Central Pacific Hurricane Center

Hawaiian Media:

TV:

KITV 4 - Honolulu (ABC)

KHON 2 - Honolulu (Fox)

Hawaii News Now KGMB 9 (CBS)/KHNL 13 (NBC)

Newspaper:

Hawaii 24/7 (Big Island Newspaper)

Hawaii Tribune-Herald

Maui News

Honolulu Star Advertiser

Northeast Gulf Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Tampa Bay, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Key West, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Mobile, AL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Tallahassee FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Northwest Florida Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

SFWMD Full Florida Radar (Includes east LA, MS,AL) Loop with Storm Track

Area Forecast Discussions: New Orleans - Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - Panhandle/Tallahassee - Tampa/West Central Florida

Tampa Area Media:

Bay News 9

WFLA News 8 (NBC)

Bay Action News (ABC)

WTSP Channel 10 (CBS)

My Fox Tampa Bay

WWSB ABC 7 Sarasota

Tampa Bay Times

Tampa Bay Online

Sarasota Herald Tribune

970 WFLA Tampa News/Talk Radio

Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Charleston, SC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Wilmington, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Morehead City, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Norfolk/Wakefield, VA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Area Forecast Discussions: Charleston, SC - Wilmington, NC - Morehead City, NC - Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads, VA

East Florida Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) South to North:

Key West, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Miami, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Melbourne, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Jacksonville, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)


Caribbean/South East Coast Satellite Imagery


SFWMD Radar Loop of South Florida with storm Track


SFWMD Full Florida Radar Loop with Storm Track


Area Forecast Discussions: FLorida Keys - Miami/South Florida - Melbourne/East Central Florida - Jacksonville/Northeast Florida -


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
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Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: 95L in Appalachee Bay Area [Re: MikeC]
      #95532 - Mon Aug 03 2015 09:14 AM

Some of the weather stations near Palm Harbor are reporting rainfall totals in the 6-8 inch range.

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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 348
Loc: Plant City, Florida 28.01N 82.12W
Re: 95L in Appalachee Bay Area [Re: MikeC]
      #95533 - Mon Aug 03 2015 12:57 PM

Flooding rains, no kidding. Areas of Northern Hillsborough and Pasco county reporting 6-10 inches of rain just since midnight. And this is after already getting 6-10 inches in the past week. If you have to be in the Tampa area today, it may be best to cancel as the are numerous roadways closed due to deep water and have been a rash of accidents throughout the area. Rain is tapering off a bit right now, but my redevelop with a small amount of heating! In my part of northeast Hillsborough we have had about 5 inches in the past 3 days. Still high and dry for now.

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2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
95L Along the Shore Near Myrtle Beach [Re: MikeC]
      #95535 - Tue Aug 04 2015 12:36 PM

Invest 95L was located over Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, at Noon on Tuesday. The windfield structure has improved and the convection has increased although most of the convection has been displaced to the east of the center by west northwesterly windshear. NHC has increased the probabiity for additional development to 40%. Movement is to the northeast along the shore at 12 knots and sustained winds have increased to 30 knots.
ED


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