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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 63 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2015 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Invest 96L Forecast Lounge
      #95951 - Wed Sep 16 2015 07:48 PM


Above: 96L Reforming ENE of Florida

Yet another area of low pressure has developed in the Gulf of Mexico.

This area of low pressure is centered much more in the middle of the GOM, and so unlike 94L, land interaction is far less likely to be an impediment for further development.

While this area of low pressure does contain the remnant circulation and moisture of former Tropical Storm Grace, it is unclear if it would keep the same name or not, given that it is also including energy from an orphaned stationary front, upper-level trof, and even some from former 94L.

Conditions for development of this feature are presently not very conducive, but may become more conducive over time - in fact, it actually looks like it could surprise on the upside, and residents along the eastern Gulf of Mexico may want to follow this system closely.

The NHC notes that its best chances for development into a tropical or subtropical storm could be when the system tracks out of the Gulf and into the western Atlantic.

Regardless of official development this Low will help set off some heavy showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe, and create blustery winds.

This is where to post thoughts on this Gulf Low's potential for development, intensity, and forecast track. Longer range model output discussions are also appropriate here.


Title edited to reflect addition of Invest tag. Original entry edited to include VIS Image. Image credit: NRL

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Sep 18 2015 02:30 PM)


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