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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
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Archives >> 2015 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
93L in Gulf of Mex
      #96114 - Fri Nov 06 2015 05:38 AM


Visible image from Thursday morning Nov 5, 2015


A broad surface low has formed in the far western Caribbean associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level system. This feature is expected to move across the Yucatan over the next 18-24 hours, and enter the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on or before Saturday. Once in GOM, the disturbance is expected to have a window of at least a day or two to develop into a tropical cyclone, with some models suggesting it could continue to develop while recurving north-northeastward next week, with it possibly becoming more subtropical while merging with a front by that time.

The title of this thread has been updated to reflect addition of Invest tag. This low is now being tracked as Invest 93L.


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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Re: 93L in Gulf of Mex [Re: cieldumort]
      #96118 - Sat Nov 07 2015 02:22 PM

The area of low pressure being tracked as Invest 93L quickly moved into the Bay of Campeche overnight, and it now appears that there could be a center reformation underway, with a renewed surface low taking hold closer to 25.5N 94.5W as of 1PM CST Saturday Nov 7.

93L has a short, but viable window to become a depression or weak storm before it may become too immersed with a cold front along the northern Gulf coast on Sunday. It is possible that the combined system retains subtropical characteristics as it enhances weather in the north to northeastern Gulf of Mexico early next week, and inland from there.


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