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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 14 (Nate) , Major: 32 (Maria) Florida - Any: 42 (Irma) Major: 42 (Irma)
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Other Tropical Features
      #96918 - Sat Sep 03 2016 12:01 PM

Two additional areas not yet identified by NHC:
A well-formed but convection-sparce tropical low is located at 17.2N 29.2W at 03/15Z.
A disorganized but convectively active tropical wave is located at 8.9N 31.6W.
ED


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IsoFlame
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 53
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce... 29.15N 80.97W
Re: Other Tropical Features [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #96920 - Sat Sep 03 2016 02:49 PM

The southern wave may eventually turn into the closed low the GFS spins up ITVO Haiti around mid-Sept, strengthening it significantly by the 18th on a WNW track through the lower Florida Keys. Of course the projected location must be taken with a grain of salt 2 weeks out, but given near peak SST's, increased available moisture and generally a more favorable environment, the next tropical wave to make it across the open Atlantic may not struggle for nearly as long as 99L before undergoing significant tropical cyclogenesis.

Edited by IsoFlame (Sat Sep 03 2016 02:57 PM)


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