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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Storm Forum

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 815
Loc: hollywood,florida
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: GlenJohnson]
      #97621 - Sun May 28 2017 09:06 AM

I am pretty close to NOAA's numbers.

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 354
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #97622 - Tue May 30 2017 12:09 AM

Going to go with 16 - 7 - 3 this year. No particular reason. I went low side last year and was wrong...probably will switch on me this year. Let's hope WeatherBells predictions of LOT of threats to the US doesn't verify!

--------------------
If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3


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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 956
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #97623 - Tue May 30 2017 09:21 AM

TSR's 5/26 forecast increased to 14/6/3 and ACE now up to 93.There seems to be consensus that an El Nino will be delayed which explains the increase... since this is for fun I will keep my updated guess 11/5/2

--------------------
doug

Edited by doug (Tue May 30 2017 09:22 AM)


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Kraig
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sun
Posts: 27
Loc: Jupiter, Fl
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: doug]
      #97626 - Wed May 31 2017 06:23 PM

I'm going to go a little lower, with 10/6/2.....

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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4057
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: Kraig]
      #97627 - Wed May 31 2017 07:12 PM

Ed Dunham sadly passed away on May 14th, the outlook will continue on, but he will be greatly missed.

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cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1776
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #97629 - Wed May 31 2017 07:58 PM

My preferred analog years: 1951, 1996 and 2001 assuming no El Niño ... but with some deference to 1965 and/or 1972 should an El Niño develop this year, and develop prior to September.

Speaking just of the continental U.S., an above-average landfall risk along all of the Gulf states, the southeast, and all the way up the eastern seaboard to Canada. (An unusually larger and higher than average landfall risk area).

Much above-average chance of early season development/s, especially close to Mexico, Central America, and the U.S.

My 2017 total numbers forecast for the Atlantic basin: 14 Names, 7 Hurricanes, 3 Majors


~ In memory of Ed. Always inspiring, always insightful, always sincere. Rest in peace. ~


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BloodstarModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 440
Loc: Georgia Tech
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #97632 - Thu Jun 01 2017 06:08 AM

16/9/4

And very sad news indeed about Ed Dunham.


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4057
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: Bloodstar]
      #97633 - Thu Jun 01 2017 08:51 AM

i'll let the last one slide, but the listing is closed for the season. Now to see what happens...

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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 354
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: Outlook for 2017 [Re: MikeC]
      #99154 - Tue Jan 09 2018 12:48 AM

No results from 2017??

--------------------
If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3


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