Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 59 (Maria) Florida - Any: 69 (Irma) Major: 69 (Irma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


News Talkback >> 2017 News Talkbacks

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Hurricane Nate in the Gulf
      #99085 - Sat Oct 07 2017 08:36 AM

11:A0AM EDT 8 October 2017 Update
Nate made landfall overnight near Biloxi, MS after a brief clip of extreme Southeastern Louisiana. As a category 1 hurricane. Storm surge was seen in areas near the center and east of it, and now it is decaying over Northern Alabama bringing some flooding rains.

Another area in the East Atlantic may develop (91L), but it should remain far away from land areas.

5:30PM CDT 7 October 2017 Update
Nate's intensification has leveled off as a cat 1 borderline cat 2, and appears to making a run for the Mississippi Gulf coast.

Original Update
Hurricane Nate is currently an 85MPH category 1 hurricane and is forecast to be a category 2 hurricane by the time it makes landfall near Louisana/Mississipp late tonight. There exists a possibility this afternoon that it could strengthen more than expected, so please prepare as if it were a category 3 hurricane in the area and hope it stays weaker.

Nate should be landfalling in a very storm surge prone area, with 3-10 feet of surge possible in some areas along the Gulf coast. See The storm surge inundation map



For preparations, the problem is time, there's not much of it as rain is already beginning to impact parts of Louisiana, and this will spread east as the day goes on. Those in the area have until early afternoon.

It's worth noting that the eastern side of the storm is very strong, whereas te western side is fairly weak. Those on the west side of nate's eye will see much less impacts from those in to a fair bit east of the center of Nate. Partially due to rapid forward motion, where winds are added and driving surge onshore on the "right" side of the storm, and blowing offshore/weaker on the "left" side of the storm.

Please listen to local officials and media for more information. There are a few links below for some of it.

The flurricane twitter feed also rapid fires out additional information from various sources http://twitter.com/cfhc

Model discussions and more in the Nate Forecast Lounge.

Additionally invest 91L is in the northeast Atlantic and has a 70% chance to develop, likely staying away from land.

Nate Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Nate


stormplotthumb_16.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Nate (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Nate (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Nate

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Nate
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Nate -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Mississippi/Alabama Gulf Coast Media/Links

WLOX TV 13 (ABC) Biloxi

WXXV TV 25 (Fox)Biloxi

WKRG TV 5 (CBS) Mobile

WPMI TV 15 (NBC) Mobile

WALA TV 10 (Fox) Mobile

WEAR TV 3 (ABC) Pensacola, FL

Newspapers

Mobile Register (Al.com) paper

Biloxi Sun Herald paper

Gulf Live

Radio (some)

News Talk 104.9 Biloxi, MS (Radio)

News talk 106.5 Mobile, AL (Radio)

Power Outage

Mississippi Power Outage Map

Alabama Power Outage Map

Louisiana Information

Govt/Official Info:

Louisiana Emergency Management

Mississippi Emergency Management

Alabama Emergency Management

Louisiana Dept. of Transportation - Road Closures, Traffic Cams, etc.

Mississippi - Road Closures, Traffic Cams, etc

Alabama Road Conditions and Traffic Cameras


Media Newspapers/TV/Radio:

Nola.com New Orleans Times-Picayune

WWL TV 4 (CBS Affiliate in New Orleans)

ABC 26 TV (ABC Affiliate in New Orleans)

WDSU Channel 6 (NBC Affiliate New Orleans)

Fox 8 (New Orleans)

WTIX 690 News Radio

WWL 870 News Radio

WTOK 11 / Missippii Alabama ABC Affiliate

WKRG 5 in Mobile/Pensacola

WPMI Channel 15 from Mobile

North Gulf Links North Gulf/Southern Mississippi Valley Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) East to West:

Mobile, AL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

New Orleans, LA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Lake Charles, LA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Houston/Galveston, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

Area Forecast Discussions: Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - New Orleans, LA - Lake Charles, LA - Houston/Galveston, TX

Northeast Gulf Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Tampa Bay, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Key West, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Mobile, AL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Tallahassee FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Northwest Florida Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

SFWMD Full Florida Radar (Includes east LA, MS,AL) Loop with Storm Track

Area Forecast Discussions: New Orleans - Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - Panhandle/Tallahassee - Tampa/West Central Florida

Various recordings for Nate

Ophelia Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Ophelia


stormplotthumb_17.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Ophelia (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Ophelia (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Ophelia

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Ophelia
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Ophelia -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)




Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99086 - Sat Oct 07 2017 08:58 AM

Recon is finding almost no wind all on the west side at Tropical Storm force (maybe 20mph at that)? All the strong wind is on the east side, so the fast forward motion is concentrating everything on the right side of the storm.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99087 - Sat Oct 07 2017 10:36 AM

Recon is finding pressures lower on the most recent pass, may be up to Category 2 now. 90-95mph winds from recon. Also the system is west of the official track line. Moving VERY fast too. It has a shot at cat 3 before landfall, depends on if it hold together or not, and there are no obvious issues heading into the coast. East side remains where all the weather is.




Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99089 - Sat Oct 07 2017 11:53 AM

High end of Surge estimates up to 7-11ft, coming in around the time of high tide in most of the places, it'll move quickly out though with the speed of the storm.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99091 - Sat Oct 07 2017 12:54 PM

Recon observation extrapolated pressure down to 975-977mb, no vortex message yet to confirm.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99093 - Sat Oct 07 2017 02:10 PM

Some good news is that the cloud tops are warming (meaning probably weakening a bit)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99097 - Sat Oct 07 2017 09:28 PM

after clipping extreme SE Lousiana it seems to be holding around its current intensity, the HurricaneTrack gulfport camera shows the most dramatic video so far of surge starting to happen

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/aKNCVDnVdsP


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
M_Islander
Registered User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1
Re: Hurricane Nate in the Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #99098 - Sun Oct 08 2017 05:19 AM

Graphic and update has Sept 7 should be October.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1



Extra information
0 registered and 13 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., danielw, Clark, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 2818

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center