WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
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Well there is without a doubt a westerly component to the storm still. The motion is called NNW, so it has not made the turn yet and judging by the last few frames there was a slight jog back to the NW. We shall see.
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I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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Alex K.
Unregistered
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If someone has posted this already i appologize
000
URNT12 KNHC 122307
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/2307Z
B. 21 DEG 28 MIN N
82 DEG 10 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2890 M
D. 65 KT
E. 042 DEG 027 NM
F. 120 DEG 95 KT
G. 021 DEG 009 NM
H. 976 MB
I. 12 C/ 3079 M
J. 18 C/ 3074 M
K. 8 C/ NA
L. OPEN SSE
M. C15
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF984 0703A OB 21
MAX FL WIND 95 KT NE QUAD 2304Z. EYE HAS BECOME MORE CIRCULAR
BUT STILL OPEN SSE... COMPRISED OF MAIN BANDS WHICH OVERLAP
CREATING DBL EYEWALL FEATURE, NNW THRU E.
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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thats what i was refering to. been out of the loop for a while but at lunch the wc and local tv were saying it should start to turn n by this afternoon..
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cyclone_head
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 74
Loc: Florida
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This statement is somewhat why I posted earlier. It does seem to be a "quandry".
***UNFORTUNATELY...THERE IS SOMETHING OF A QUANDARY WITH THE
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE. THE NEW AND UKMET RUNS HAVE MADE A
WIDE TURN 75 TO 150 NMI LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...AND
MOST OF THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS AND MODELS HAVE ALSO MADE A
WESTWARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...THE 6- AND 12-HOUR AND UKMET
FORECAST POSITIONS ARE ALREADY 30 TO 60 NMI WEST OR LEFT OF THE
CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION. A STRONG UPSTREAM TROUGH NOTED DIGGING
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOULD HELP TO BLOCK ANY SIGNIFICANT WESTWARD MOTION. BASED
ON THE DEVELOPING WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY SYNOPTIC FLOW PATTERN
OVER THE GULF...AND AN APPARENT LEFT BIAS BY MOST OF THE MODEL
GUIDANCE...THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS JUST AN UPDATE AND EXTENSION OF
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACKS.
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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I guess I used the wrong wording, I didn't mean they were doing it on purpose, just that it seemed so unusual for it to be that way for any other reason. If it is a server problem, then they have misconfigured their replication, load should not affect something like that if it is configured properly. No answers from the site because of load? Yes, inaccurate data? No.
Something is definitely broken on their site.
Bill
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javlin
Weather Master
Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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The front is to strong for it to go much further W.It looks to me like is being good in the aspect of following the general path.I eluded the other night about a 3>5 degree move to W would be the breaker.The ULL to the W made sure that went no further.Tension down there has to be tight.
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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John C. let me (!) put up a new thread. Y'all (or all y'all) can head on over there now. I'll never live up to their standards, but I can try... 
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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I have to give props to the on air Meteorologist on TV 28 in Tampa. Using a simple paper map, he gave one of the best explainations of the effects of various landfalls I have seen in a while.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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I feel sorry for the people in america with all those storms.I live in canada and ive never seen a tornado or a hurricane before.I hope that the hurricane isnt bad and doest kill anyone.
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