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Archives 2000s >> 2003 News Talkback

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Joe
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
Re: West Again
      #7330 - Thu Jul 10 2003 09:52 PM

Well the firest words that come to mind when looking at this storm is "A mess". It has become more ragged then what was seen earlier today, but thats a given when some shear from SW is still present. Now that the center is near 20n/85w with a NW movement one would think this may miss the Yucatan and move right throught the straight or just barely clip the Yucatan. Theres been quite a problem in locating the center and getting a good fix. Last fix from recon was pressure of 1013 mb form 993mb. This of coarse is a problem and doubt its pressure went up 20mbs.

Forecast remains uncertain, although models have shifted eastward a little, but still pointing towards western gulf, with exception being the LBAR which brings it towards LA. The high to the east and upper low to west seem to be steering this Northwestward, how long this last is any body's guess.

Also, nicely written Colleen.


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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: Mary.....
      #7331 - Thu Jul 10 2003 09:55 PM

I must say that there is some good analysis going on here. I enjoy reading everyone's posts. I am interested in knowing who is either in school or has a degree in meterology? Regardless though I enjoy hearing from everyone.

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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: descrambler?
      #7332 - Thu Jul 10 2003 09:57 PM

HANKFRANK...what do you mean by something developing off the East Coast?? What area do you think has potential or what area should we be watching?

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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3944
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Claudette
      #7333 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:00 PM

I'm on the road for weeks and we get a june storm and a gulf July storm. I'm barely having time to check on it so sorry for the lack of updates. I'm in the middle of changing jobs so so far this season I haven't been able to give the site as much love as in the past. And with this going on it's HIGHLY aggrivating .

Thanks to everyone here for keeping me and everyone updated! I won't be back home until the 20th.




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57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: Claudette
      #7334 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:12 PM

Don't worry Mike, concentrate on what you have to do and all of us here will hold down the fort. We'll keep the light on for ya!

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: Colleen
      #7335 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:38 PM

Elena 85. I was in Gulf Shores, AL for that and we got the best part! I learned a great forecasting tool from my father on that one! Our current girl may prove to be something like that!

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
11 pm Update
      #7336 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:44 PM

Winds now barely 50 mph.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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Joe
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
Re: Colleen
      #7337 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:45 PM

A healthy drop in strength. The 11pm advisory has her at 20.0n/85.8w, winds 50 mph, pressure 1008.

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game
Unregistered




Re: Young Droops ??
      #7338 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:48 PM

thatsitseeya

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Joe
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
Re: Colleen
      #7339 - Thu Jul 10 2003 10:53 PM

THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND MISS
THE TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO SWING BY THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO. CLAUDETTE IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ONCE IT
REACHES THE WEST CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 3 DAYS. THIS
FORECAST IS HEAVILY BASED ON THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFS..NOGAPS AND
UK GLOBAL MODELS.

NHC not changing thinking of forecast, and still feel this will miss the trough. Still not biting yet, especially with all the ups and downs of this system.


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