Atlantic remains Quiet. Extremely high windshear and no systems to speak of will likely keep it shutdown through mid July.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US:
, in Florida:
3541 (9 y 8 m) (Wilma)
Loc: Great Lakes 45.95N 84.55W
During the last tropical off-season, I wrote up a series of articles that I called the "Learning Series," highlighting 4 aspects of tropical meteorology that many had questions about. These are still available here on the FLhurricane.com blogs if you are interested in reading or re-visiting them:
Entry 1: Trough Interaction
Entry 2: Cyclone Phase Diagrams
Entry 3: Hurricane Track Forecasting
Entry 4: Dry air, the SAL, and wind shear
I'd like to know if there is anything in particular you all want to see sometime this offseason? The cyclone phase diagram entry followed from a poster's suggestion and I'd like to take into account your suggestions again if I can do so. Below are a few of my ideas, plus I'll take ideas from you all (if there are any) up until the end of March. Once we get into April and particularly May, I should have some time to move forward with some of these ideas. My goal is for two or three new entries before the season ramps up in June.
- 1) Seasonal hurricane forecasting
- 2) Factors influencing hurricane intensity and hurricane intensity forecasting
- 3) transition
- 4) Tropical cyclone genesis
- 5) Insert your own idea
PM me your thoughts and ideas if you have them. Thanks!
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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