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#Maria affecting DR, Approaching Turks and Caicos, but very likely to stay well east of the mainland US. PR seeing the last bands today.
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News Talkback >> 2017 News Talkbacks

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BloodstarModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 433
Loc: Georgia Tech 33.78N 84.40W
Re: Peak Continues with Historic Harvey and now PTC TEN, Trop Atl Wave, E Atl 93L [Re: MikeC]
      #98018 - Tue Aug 29 2017 03:55 PM

Something is obviously kicking Harvey out to the ENE, but the only thing I see is a shortwave trough deepening in TX and OK that could be doing the deed. However, with as relatively shallow as the core of Harvey has been, I'm a little surprised that Harvey would respond that much.

(if this belongs in another forum, feel free to move it, but I am very curious)

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2018.


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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3862
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Peak Continues with Historic Harvey and now PTC TEN, Trop Atl Wave, E Atl 93L [Re: Bloodstar]
      #98020 - Tue Aug 29 2017 04:06 PM

Recon is finding stronger winds and a 994mb pressure, so it's going up in strength slightly before a second landfall. Rain is still over Houston, but it shouldn't last beyond tonight. Parts east will be getting the rain.

Harvey's Storm Surge in Galveston is actually preventing a lot of the flood waters from getting out into the Gulf quickly.


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Steve C
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 15
Loc: Houston TX 77059 29.60N 95.10W
Re: Peak Continues with Historic Harvey and now PTC TEN, Trop Atl Wave, E Atl 93L [Re: MikeC]
      #98021 - Tue Aug 29 2017 04:29 PM

45.36 inches so far in the Clear Lake area by NASA, SE of Houston

(tried to add an image of graphs... no luck)

Edited by Steve C (Tue Aug 29 2017 04:33 PM)


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cieldumortModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1594
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Re: Peak Continues with Historic Harvey and now PTC TEN, Trop Atl Wave, E Atl 93L [Re: cieldumort]
      #98022 - Tue Aug 29 2017 06:55 PM

National Weather Service
Quote:

Harvey has has now set a preliminary record, surpassing 50 inches for the greatest amount of measured single-storm rainfall for the continental US. Additional rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are expected to the north and east of Houston from far east Texas into southwestern Louisiana. This is producing devastating flooding. Numerous Flash Flood Warnings are in effect.

STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 15 FOR TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PRELIMINARY
RAINFALL TOTALS AND WIND REPORTS
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM CDT TUE AUG 29 2017

...TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PRELIMINARY OBSERVED RAIN TOTALS...

AT 300 PM CDT...THESE ARE THE MOST RECENT PRELIMINARY RAINFALL REPORTS FROM TROPICAL STORM HARVEY. PLEASE REFER TO NHC FOR THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HARVEY.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 PMCDT THU AUG 24 THROUGH 300 PM CDT TUE AUG 29...

...LOUISIANA...
IOWA 0.9 ESE 14.88
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 13.25
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 12.80
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 12.68
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 12.06
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 11.69
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 11.50
ZAVALLA 2 ESE 11.24
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
SULPHUR 2.2 E 11.00
GILLIS 4 WSW 10.94
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 10.78
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.44
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 10.43
WELSH 0.7 W 10.11
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 8.90
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.36
FORT POLK 8.32
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 7.80
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 7.13
BON WIER 2 ENE 7.12
TOPSY 4 NNW 7.12
VERNON - FTS 6.83
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 6.57
KAPLAN 1 SSE 6.29
PITKIN 7 NNW 6.09
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 4.56
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 4.56

...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
DAYTON 0.2 E 46.08
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SANTA FE 0.7 S 45.02
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 42.76
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 42.58
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 42.11
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 41.77
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 41.66
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.22
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.18
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.77
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 26.77
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 25.58
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 21.94
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23





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BloodstarModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 433
Loc: Georgia Tech 33.78N 84.40W
Re: Peak Continues with Historic Harvey and now PTC TEN, Trop Atl Wave, E Atl 93L [Re: cieldumort]
      #98024 - Tue Aug 29 2017 08:10 PM

Go figure, the low level center of Harvey appears to be moving in a general ESE direction the last few hours. Maybe the visible low level center is moving around a larger low pressure, but if it is, I don't see it. Additionally, It's still generating sheared convection, but that motion if it holds up isn't what anyone needs. Louisiana certainly doesn't need to find itself under a massive rain event as well as the disaster in Texas.

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2018.


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M.A.
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 94
Loc: Vero Beach, Fl 27.64N 80.38W
Re: Peak Continues with Historic Harvey and now PTC TEN, Trop Atl Wave, E Atl 93L [Re: Bloodstar]
      #98026 - Wed Aug 30 2017 01:31 PM

I noticed that also. It looks to have started back on the more northerly track in the last frame. Even more disturbing is 3 of the computer models picking up development in the Bay of Campeche around 120hrs.

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