Storms going NW then re-curving W to hit the U.S.:
Andrew went from somewhere around 21/60 to 25/65 (I'm just estimating from memory so I'm probably a little bit off, but not too far--and in fact, I think it continued almost due NW till 26N), then went almost due west (even a bit south of west at some point) toward S. Fla. Right now, Fabian's 4-day forecast position is actually south of where Andrew was when Andrew crossed 65 west.
So of course your point is well-taken.
Fingers crossed for that weakness! Hopefully we'll have a better idea by around Monday.
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