Man, you just don't see a hurricane like this everyday. This thing is just about as perfect as they get. The good news for the human race is they usually don't stay this way.
Fabian, still to my surprise, is heading off to the west at about 275. He is starting to look like he's going to clear 20N 60W with just a little room to spare, the problem for the islands is there's not much room between them and that mark. In fact he's going to force TS warnings tonight or tomorrow to be issued, which I didn't think could happen. The latest model runs take him past 25N 75W moving between WNW and NW, which I would guess would begin to put the Carolina's in trouble. The critical time seems to come right above PR; the models are getting fliud at that point at how much turn is really going to happen. If any of the recon data was added to these, it does seem things are changing to the west a bit more then the NHC first believed. I smell Floyd/Bertha in the air somewhere, and I think I know where he is. Just what I need. 4 million South Floridians jammed up on I95 with nowhere to go. Just great......
Here's something to chew on. This a great what if. What if hurricanes that get to this strength don't react like weaker storms for this reason: the pressure inside the hurricane is so low that the higher pressure to the north( the ridge) doesn't have to be as high (or in other words, as strong) to keep keep a strong storm moving along it's edge. Floyd turned after he got sheared back to a Cat2. Doe's this make any sence, or do I have to much time on my hands? Comments and idea's more than welcome.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 20812
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center