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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA

Re: Regarding watches...
Wed Sep 17 2003 04:44 PM

Oh yeah,

He did nudge his 'hit window' a bit further south this morning:

"This storm remains on its path of 335. Out of respect for TPC and the fact that we are within 36 hours of landfall, I am moving my "hit window" south to the area from Cape Lookout to Cape Henry, VA. In other words, I think the eye will make landfall in this area. It is very tricky as a delay of several hours on the turn to 315 degrees from the 335 means it misses Hatteras just east, and then runs the Chesapeake Bay. The northern part of this window is still in the southern part of the old one. But, with the storm so massive, focusing on the exact point of landfall will strictly be for bragging rights. The track of the Eurga is in near Hatteras to midway between DC and Richmond and then north. AccuWeather.com forecasts are describing in your outlets the effect of such a path. Landfall should be made around Hatteras between noon and 3. Until it gets on the 315-degree path, though, the storm is currently on the track toward the mouth of the Chesapeake. Errors over the 2-day forecast on the model have been a westward bias of about 60 miles. TPC skill scores have been great overall. "
====================================
Joe also had a caution for the SE next week with the pattern (trof digging in possibly slightly west of 90), African wave on the scene (2+2+?=?)

Steve

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Warnings Now Up Through Smith Point in the Chesapeake Bay	MikeC	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:44 PM
Re: Hurricane Warnings Now Up Through Smith Point in the Chesapeake Bay	Ed Dunham	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:32 PM
last minute changes	AlexK	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:45 PM
Re: last minute changes	clyde w.	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:55 PM
Re: last minute changes	clyde w.	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:56 PM
aaack	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:47 PM
Re: aaack	clyde w.	Thu Sep 18 2003 07:09 AM
Isabel	57497479	Thu Sep 18 2003 07:38 AM
Re: last minute changes	CFHC	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:27 PM
low pressure, low winds	AlexK	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:21 PM
Re: low pressure, low winds	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:40 PM
Re: low pressure, low winds	clyde w.	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:47 PM
Re: Isabel or Isadore??	Tropics Guy	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:59 PM
to check out the conditions	andy1tom	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:58 PM
i thought we should be getting three hr updates?	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 02:09 PM
Re: i thought we should be getting three hr updates?	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 02:52 PM
Re: Hurricane Warnings Now Up Through Smith Point in the Chesapeake Bay	Allison	Wed Sep 17 2003 12:12 PM
thanks allison	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 12:55 PM
Re: thanks allison	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 01:00 PM
misc	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 17 2003 01:24 PM
Re: misc	scottsvb	Wed Sep 17 2003 01:49 PM
Re: misc	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:18 PM
Re: misc	WeatherNLU	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:31 PM
Regarding watches...	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:38 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:46 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:06 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	Steve	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:14 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	BeachBum	Thu Sep 18 2003 01:11 AM
Re: Regarding watches...	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:21 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:11 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:14 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:17 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	SandiaFlower	Wed Sep 17 2003 07:01 PM
A short story, for sue and anyone else who might care...	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 07:30 PM
Re: A short story, for sue and anyone else who might care...	SandiaFlower	Wed Sep 17 2003 08:44 PM
Sue, it's the gift that keeps on giving...	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 08:57 PM
Peace out	LoisCane	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:42 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	Steve	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:42 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:51 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	Wxwatcher2	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:05 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	BeachBum	Thu Sep 18 2003 01:20 AM
Re: Cantore in Kill Devil Hills	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:17 PM
A most odd hurricane	AlexK	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:25 PM
Avalon Piercam	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:40 PM
Re: Avalon Piercam	BabyCat	Wed Sep 17 2003 06:29 PM
Re: Avalon Piercam	57497479	Wed Sep 17 2003 07:26 PM
Re: Avalon Piercam	Storm Cooper	Wed Sep 17 2003 07:35 PM
Re: Avalon Piercam	Domino	Thu Sep 18 2003 01:21 AM
5 AM	WXMAN RICHIE	Thu Sep 18 2003 04:47 AM
Morning All	LI Phil	Thu Sep 18 2003 07:53 AM
Isabel ... interesting sat presentation	LoisCane	Thu Sep 18 2003 08:35 AM
yakkkk	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 18 2003 08:48 AM
Re: yakkkk	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 18 2003 08:49 AM
Feel better Hank and Challenge to Bastardi	LoisCane	Thu Sep 18 2003 09:12 AM
According to Accuweather...strongest wind speed this hour	LoisCane	Thu Sep 18 2003 09:24 AM
Re: According to Accuweather...strongest wind speed this hour	Steve	Thu Sep 18 2003 10:20 AM
Re: According to Accuweather...strongest wind speed this hour	Steve	Thu Sep 18 2003 11:09 AM
Re: yakkkk	LI Phil	Thu Sep 18 2003 09:00 AM
PS..someone tell Kristen Dodd that she's wrong	LoisCane	Thu Sep 18 2003 08:42 AM
Re: Avalon Piercam	57497479	Wed Sep 17 2003 08:48 PM
Re: Avalon Piercam	Storm Cooper	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:52 PM
Re: Avalon Piercam	troy2	Wed Sep 17 2003 07:47 PM
sorry about my mistake	AlexK	Thu Sep 18 2003 06:47 AM
Re: Avalon Piercam	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 07:53 PM
back from the beach	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 06:22 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	Rubber Ducky	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:15 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	jth	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:01 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 05:05 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	Steve	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:44 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:53 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:55 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	wezman	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:56 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:02 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:17 PM
when looking at steering graphics	wezman	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:40 PM
Re: Regarding watches...	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 04:27 PM
Re: Regarding watches...models	wezman	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:41 PM
Re: Regarding watches...models	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:45 PM
Re: misc	wxman007	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:27 PM
Re: misc	BabyCat	Wed Sep 17 2003 01:57 PM
Re: misc	wezman	Wed Sep 17 2003 01:57 PM
Re: Hurricane v. Nor'easter	Kimster	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:43 AM
Hurricane v. Nor'easter...you choose	LoisCane	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:30 AM
Re: Hurricane v. Nor'easter...you choose	javlin	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:40 AM
Re: Hurricane v. Nor'easter...you choose	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:33 AM
Re: Hurricane v. Nor'easter...you choose	LoisCane	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:44 AM
Re: Hurricane v. Nor'easter	jth	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:26 AM
Re: Hurricane v. Nor'easter	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:54 AM
check out what's happening...	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:59 AM
turn at 30n	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:36 AM
Re: turn at 30n	wezman	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:43 AM
Re: turn at 30n	wezman	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:45 AM
I find it amazing that no one wants to discuss this..	LoisCane	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:58 AM
Re: I find it amazing that no one wants to discuss this..	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 12:07 PM
Re: I find it amazing that no one wants to discuss this..	RevUp	Wed Sep 17 2003 12:52 PM
What does that mean Phil? About recon?	LoisCane	Wed Sep 17 2003 12:10 PM
Re: What does that mean Phil? About recon?	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 12:21 PM
Re: What does that mean Phil? About recon?	FloridaNative	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:32 PM
Re: What does that mean Phil? About recon?	MikeC	Wed Sep 17 2003 03:34 PM
Degrees vs. Mileage	CHASRandy	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:06 AM
Re: Degrees vs. Mileage	stormchazer	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:36 AM
Re: Degrees vs. Mileage	javlin	Wed Sep 17 2003 11:22 AM
Re: Hurricane Warnings Now Up Through Smith Point in the Chesapeake Bay	tom5r	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:13 AM
Re: Hurricane Warnings Now Up Through Smith Point in the Chesapeake Bay	andy1tom	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:45 AM
gfdl model	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 08:33 AM
Morning All	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:11 AM
Re: Morning All	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 17 2003 09:46 AM
dry air might soften the blow?	waync	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:25 AM
Re: Morning All	LI Phil	Wed Sep 17 2003 10:18 AM
Re: Hurricane Warnings Now Up Through Smith Point in the Chesapeake Bay	jeff	Wed Sep 17 2003 08:31 AM

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