september 20th may be the first day since fabian popped on the screen that we don't have an active system.. will most likely be the case. there isn't anything sure on the horizon, though i'd say that's probably not going to be the case for long. convection in the deep tropics is quite active in the last couple of days (perhaps mjo revving up again), and the eastpac has spawned linda and now marty. that usually signals something will happen in the atlantic.. and steve's already noted the westpac typhoon recurving south of japan.. which may signal what any potential system will do. keep an eye on the wave near 55w for next week, as well as the sw caribbean and the wave near 35w. these are all of low interest as of now.
anyhow, four to go to reach my 2003 quota, five for gray. we could both fall short, or both go long, dependent on how active the next 3 weeks are.
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