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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

HanKFranK
User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

90L and kate
Tue Sep 30 2003 10:22 AM

convection coming back to the area of 90L this morning.. so that's not a question at the moment. nhc's twd now pointing to interaction with the front as a mechanism to slow or prevent development.. of course as the front decays it can become a help and not a hinderance. be interested to see if they'll get a plane down there today, like they always say, and never seem to do. it doesn't look imminent, but not bad either. models.. mostly retaining a trough/low down there, and pushing whatever is there into mexico, or squashing it out as the trough over the east amplifies. the 00z cmc run is the most vigorous of the lot.. and you know that model is often bonkers... it has a system east of brownsville in 5 days drifting NE. my take right now is the status quo.. with slow organization in the bay of campeche and erratic motion of anything that may develop.. until the next amplification is past and the pattern to the north flattens and lets the system start north. opal-esque if something forms.
kate.. mentioning it because it's going to be with us for a while. essentially every model has it with us in five-six days.. with some disagreement on exactly where. the eastern camp drifts it around out there near the azores.. but in general tend to loop it back west to some degree. the western camp stalls it briefly and accelerates it westward, deepening, then alternately turns it nw or even sw (nogaps) within 500 mi of bermuda in 4-6 days. watch for that nogaps take.. that would give us an erratic longtrack mid-latitude system.
waves looking lame, even with some ridging east of the islands. in about 3-4 days some modeling creating a low along the front edge of the east coast trough, out near bermuda.. then leaving it to drift out there as the trough lifts some. none forecasting a great deal of development.. but it will probably interact with kate if kate gets back that far west.
HF 1423z30september

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
The Next System?	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:22 AM
pressure at 1004	AlexK	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:10 PM
sounds about right	AlexK	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:23 PM
What is going on??	AlexK	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:18 PM
Re: What is going on??	stuartdave	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:36 PM
Re: What is going on??	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:38 PM
Re: What is going on??	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:26 PM
Re: What is going on??	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:33 PM
Re: What is going on??	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:36 PM
HEY JASON	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:28 PM
Re: What is going on??	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:21 PM
Baby larry	AlexK	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:05 PM
Yawn...	clyde w.	Tue Sep 30 2003 07:36 PM
Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:25 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:47 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:23 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	andy1tom	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:10 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Steve	Wed Oct 01 2003 12:22 AM
bedtime tidbit	Steve	Wed Oct 01 2003 12:42 AM
Re: Good Morning!	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 07:46 AM
? for Mary	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:50 AM
Re: ? for Mary	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:05 PM
Re: ? for Mary	57497479	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:45 PM
Re: ? for Mary	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:18 PM
yep	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:46 PM
It's about d@$m time.....	wxman007	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:47 PM
Re: It's about d@$m time.....	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:58 PM
Re: It's about d@$m time.....	mbfly	Wed Oct 01 2003 07:11 PM
Re: Larry...Florida bound?	Tropics Guy	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:04 PM
Speedy Larry	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:32 PM
Re: Larry...Florida bound?	stormchazer	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:32 PM
Re: Larry...Florida bound?	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 09:04 PM
Tropical storm Larry has formed	Cycloneye	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:43 PM
what the...	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:23 AM
Area north of the Yucatan	LoisCane	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:52 AM
Re: BOC	javlin	Wed Oct 01 2003 12:29 PM
Re: BOC	andy1tom	Wed Oct 01 2003 01:12 PM
Re: BOC	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 01:50 PM
jumping through hoops	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 01 2003 02:11 PM
you know.........	LoisCane	Wed Oct 01 2003 02:38 PM
new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:01 PM
Re: new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:24 PM
Re: new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:24 PM
Re: new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:26 PM
Second vortex data message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 04:36 PM
Re: Second vortex data message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 04:41 PM
No TD in the GOM; TD in EastPac	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 04:45 PM
Re: Area north of the Yucatan	Frank P	Wed Oct 01 2003 11:27 AM
Isabel's Aftermath & 90L	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 11:27 AM
Re: Isabel's Aftermath & 90L	JimAnderson	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:12 PM
Re: Area north of the Yucatan	andy1tom	Wed Oct 01 2003 11:26 AM
Re: what the...	ShawnS	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:30 AM
!	Steve	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:47 AM
Re: Good Morning!	stormchazer	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:28 AM
Re: Good Morning!	javlin	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:04 AM
Hello Larry? Not at 11:00	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:52 PM
Re: Hello Larry? Not at 11:00	Storm Cooper	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:10 PM
Re: Hello Larry? Not at 11:00	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:07 PM
cute hank frank, very cute	LoisCane	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:16 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Mary K.	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:43 PM
90L	AlexK	Tue Sep 30 2003 04:44 PM
Re: 90L	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:04 PM
Re: 90L	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:00 PM
Re: 90L	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 04:51 PM
90L fighting	AlexK	Tue Sep 30 2003 06:39 AM
Re: 90L fighting	Mary K.	Tue Sep 30 2003 07:25 AM
blip of convection	AlexK	Mon Sep 29 2003 09:51 PM
Definite western circulation...but	AlexK	Mon Sep 29 2003 07:15 PM
Re: The Next System?	SunNFun	Mon Sep 29 2003 04:00 PM
Hello Larry?	LI Phil	Mon Sep 29 2003 05:10 PM
Re: Hello Larry?	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 29 2003 05:43 PM
Watch and Wait mode...	LoisCane	Mon Sep 29 2003 06:31 PM
Re: Watch and Wait mode...	57497479	Mon Sep 29 2003 07:23 PM
a blow off trail????	LoisCane	Mon Sep 29 2003 08:53 PM
Re: a blow off trail????	57497479	Mon Sep 29 2003 09:56 PM
Everyone look at this loop please... strange	LoisCane	Tue Sep 30 2003 07:33 AM
Re: Everyone look at this loop please... strange	57497479	Tue Sep 30 2003 08:00 AM
Shell game...choose one	LoisCane	Tue Sep 30 2003 08:06 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	javlin	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:25 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	jlauderdal	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:38 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:23 AM
90L and kate	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:22 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:17 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Frank P	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:21 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:10 PM
New Kate Models	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:18 PM
Re: New Kate Models	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:22 PM
Re: New Kate Models	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:25 PM
Re: New Kate Models	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:28 PM
Re: New Kate Models	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:29 PM
Weak circulation found, but no depression	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:23 PM
Re: 90L and kate	stormchazer	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:35 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:05 PM
Gale Force Winds	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:24 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:11 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	javlin	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:20 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	andy1tom	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:13 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:29 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	andy1tom	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:38 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:39 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 02:58 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 03:27 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 03:30 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:18 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Mary K.	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:44 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	stormchazer	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:22 AM
Re: a blow off trail????	Mary K.	Mon Sep 29 2003 10:07 PM
Re: a blow off trail????	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 29 2003 09:22 PM
Re: Watch and Wait mode...	stormchazer	Mon Sep 29 2003 06:45 PM
ship observations	AlexK	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:15 PM
Re: ship observations	Steve	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:35 PM
Latest models for ENSO are neutral until may 2004	Cycloneye	Mon Sep 29 2003 10:32 PM
Re: Latest models for ENSO are neutral until may 2004	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 29 2003 11:15 PM
Re: Juan damage	Tropics Guy	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:42 PM
Re: The Next System?	LoisCane	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:11 PM

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