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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA

Gale Force Winds
Tue Sep 30 2003 12:24 PM

In Austraila, they are 34-47kn (storm force considered > 47), but in the United States they're considered 39mph+.
---------------------------------------------------
Watched the TU on Acwx. Joe B. freely admitted that this being Tuesday, divine guidance would be required for him to hit his Central Gulf forecast for Sun-Mon. He continued to note the fact that there would be a tendancy for a yank toward the Mexican coast, but he likes the idea of a stall there Thursday/Friday. He referenced the ETA which appears to agree with his calll more than any of the other models at this time as it shows a system cutting SE from NM/AZ that would kick Larry off to the N then NE. The ETA 60 hour rainfall potential in the Gulf has a couple of 10"+ swaths in the Gulf. Then at 84, the 24 hour totals approach the previous 60. Let me see if I can find a good link to the ETA (might have to use NCEP or FNMOC):

Nah. All my Unisys links are dead (as are ATWC.org's). So you get the NCEP:

NCEP ETA Model Page

Now the 12Z ETA is far less bullish at 84 hours than was the 6z or 00z runs. So that should be considered. Nonetheless, it's still got a blob SSE from Brownsville. Therefore, ETA is still anticipating that the storm won't get drawn into Mexico.

Steve

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MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
The Next System?	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:24 PM
pressure at 1004	AlexK	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:10 PM
sounds about right	AlexK	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:23 PM
What is going on??	AlexK	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:18 PM
Re: What is going on??	stuartdave	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:36 PM
Re: What is going on??	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:38 PM
Re: What is going on??	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:26 PM
Re: What is going on??	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:33 PM
Re: What is going on??	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:36 PM
HEY JASON	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:28 PM
Re: What is going on??	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 05:21 PM
Baby larry	AlexK	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:05 PM
Yawn...	clyde w.	Tue Sep 30 2003 07:36 PM
Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:25 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:47 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:23 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	andy1tom	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:10 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Steve	Wed Oct 01 2003 12:22 AM
bedtime tidbit	Steve	Wed Oct 01 2003 12:42 AM
Re: Good Morning!	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 07:46 AM
? for Mary	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:50 AM
Re: ? for Mary	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:05 PM
Re: ? for Mary	57497479	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:45 PM
Re: ? for Mary	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:18 PM
yep	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:46 PM
It's about d@$m time.....	wxman007	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:47 PM
Re: It's about d@$m time.....	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:58 PM
Re: It's about d@$m time.....	mbfly	Wed Oct 01 2003 07:11 PM
Re: Larry...Florida bound?	Tropics Guy	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:04 PM
Speedy Larry	jlauderdal	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:32 PM
Re: Larry...Florida bound?	stormchazer	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:32 PM
Re: Larry...Florida bound?	Mary K.	Wed Oct 01 2003 09:04 PM
Tropical storm Larry has formed	Cycloneye	Wed Oct 01 2003 06:43 PM
what the...	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:23 AM
Area north of the Yucatan	LoisCane	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:52 AM
Re: BOC	javlin	Wed Oct 01 2003 12:29 PM
Re: BOC	andy1tom	Wed Oct 01 2003 01:12 PM
Re: BOC	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 01:50 PM
jumping through hoops	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 01 2003 02:11 PM
you know.........	LoisCane	Wed Oct 01 2003 02:38 PM
new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:01 PM
Re: new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:24 PM
Re: new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:24 PM
Re: new vortex message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:26 PM
Second vortex data message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 04:36 PM
Re: Second vortex data message	Brad in Miami	Wed Oct 01 2003 04:41 PM
No TD in the GOM; TD in EastPac	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 04:45 PM
Re: Area north of the Yucatan	Frank P	Wed Oct 01 2003 11:27 AM
Isabel's Aftermath & 90L	LI Phil	Wed Oct 01 2003 11:27 AM
Re: Isabel's Aftermath & 90L	JimAnderson	Wed Oct 01 2003 03:12 PM
Re: Area north of the Yucatan	andy1tom	Wed Oct 01 2003 11:26 AM
Re: what the...	ShawnS	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:30 AM
!	Steve	Wed Oct 01 2003 10:47 AM
Re: Good Morning!	stormchazer	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:28 AM
Re: Good Morning!	javlin	Wed Oct 01 2003 08:04 AM
Hello Larry? Not at 11:00	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:52 PM
Re: Hello Larry? Not at 11:00	Storm Cooper	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:10 PM
Re: Hello Larry? Not at 11:00	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:07 PM
cute hank frank, very cute	LoisCane	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:16 PM
Re: Bastardi's going bonkers! LMAO	Mary K.	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:43 PM
90L	AlexK	Tue Sep 30 2003 04:44 PM
Re: 90L	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:04 PM
Re: 90L	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:00 PM
Re: 90L	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 04:51 PM
90L fighting	AlexK	Tue Sep 30 2003 06:39 AM
Re: 90L fighting	Mary K.	Tue Sep 30 2003 07:25 AM
blip of convection	AlexK	Mon Sep 29 2003 09:51 PM
Definite western circulation...but	AlexK	Mon Sep 29 2003 07:15 PM
Re: The Next System?	SunNFun	Mon Sep 29 2003 04:00 PM
Hello Larry?	LI Phil	Mon Sep 29 2003 05:10 PM
Re: Hello Larry?	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 29 2003 05:43 PM
Watch and Wait mode...	LoisCane	Mon Sep 29 2003 06:31 PM
Re: Watch and Wait mode...	57497479	Mon Sep 29 2003 07:23 PM
a blow off trail????	LoisCane	Mon Sep 29 2003 08:53 PM
Re: a blow off trail????	57497479	Mon Sep 29 2003 09:56 PM
Everyone look at this loop please... strange	LoisCane	Tue Sep 30 2003 07:33 AM
Re: Everyone look at this loop please... strange	57497479	Tue Sep 30 2003 08:00 AM
Shell game...choose one	LoisCane	Tue Sep 30 2003 08:06 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	javlin	Tue Sep 30 2003 09:25 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	jlauderdal	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:38 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:23 AM
90L and kate	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:22 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:17 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Frank P	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:21 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Colleen A.	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:10 PM
New Kate Models	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:18 PM
Re: New Kate Models	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:22 PM
Re: New Kate Models	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:25 PM
Re: New Kate Models	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:28 PM
Re: New Kate Models	LI Phil	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:29 PM
Weak circulation found, but no depression	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 05:23 PM
Re: 90L and kate	stormchazer	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:35 AM
Re: 90L and kate	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:05 PM
Gale Force Winds	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:24 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:11 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	javlin	Tue Sep 30 2003 12:20 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	andy1tom	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:13 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:29 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	andy1tom	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:38 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:39 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 02:58 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 03:27 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Brad in Miami	Tue Sep 30 2003 03:30 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Steve	Tue Sep 30 2003 01:18 PM
Re: Shell game...choose one	Mary K.	Tue Sep 30 2003 10:44 AM
Re: Shell game...choose one	stormchazer	Tue Sep 30 2003 11:22 AM
Re: a blow off trail????	Mary K.	Mon Sep 29 2003 10:07 PM
Re: a blow off trail????	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 29 2003 09:22 PM
Re: Watch and Wait mode...	stormchazer	Mon Sep 29 2003 06:45 PM
ship observations	AlexK	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:15 PM
Re: ship observations	Steve	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:35 PM
Latest models for ENSO are neutral until may 2004	Cycloneye	Mon Sep 29 2003 10:32 PM
Re: Latest models for ENSO are neutral until may 2004	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 29 2003 11:15 PM
Re: Juan damage	Tropics Guy	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:42 PM
Re: The Next System?	LoisCane	Mon Sep 29 2003 03:11 PM

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