two atlantic tropical systems, and a quiet board today. not much in the way of threat anywhere. good ole larry is going to attempt to cross central america, undoubtedly to claim the pacific ocean and all the lands bordering it as sovereign property of spain. kate went on a power trip, well above and beyond what the official intensity forecast had her pegged, probably peaked out now and due to pass east of newfoundland on monday, perhaps to say hello. other basin areas unimpressive. however, the eastpac is cranking.. nora formed a few days ago, olaf the other day.. usually signals atlantic activity 6-10 down the road. probably another atlantic system next week, if the usual cause-effect relationship holds.
deep trough east of the islands is breaking up the wave activity, so i doubt it would be anything but pattern-directed development.. without a very suspect trigger until things fall into place.
on the eastpac side olaf may come precariously close to the mexican coast in a couple of days. not a great deal of interaction going on over there, apparently.
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