Tropical Storm #Barry Has Formed in the SW Bay of Campeche. Flhurricane.com
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 233 (Sandy)
, in Florida: 2795 (Wilma)
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator
Loc: Melbourne, FL
The Last Storm of the Season
Fri Jun 18 2004 08:56 PM
As promised, here is a weekly statistical breakdown for the past 100 years of the last storm of the season. The format is the same. i.e., Week of the Season, Number (or percent) of years that the last storm occurred during that week, and a cumulative percentage. In a few rare years, the last storm of the season has occurred in the early part of the next year (January/February). It does happen, but these rare cases were not considered since they really did not add anything to the purpose of the analysis.
08/30 - 09/05: 1 'last storm' / 1 total
09/06 - 09/12: 1 / 2
09/13 - 09/19: 3 / 5
09/20 - 09/26: 5 / 10
09/27 - 10/03: 2 / 12
10/04 - 10/10: 9 / 21
10/11 - 10/17: 16 / 37
10/18 - 10/24: 15 / 52
10/25 - 10/31: 10 / 62
11/01 - 11/07: 10 / 72
11/08 - 11/14: 11 / 83
11/15 - 11/21: 6 / 89
11/22 - 11/28: 6 / 95
11/29 - 12/05: 0 / 95
12/06 - 12/12: 4 / 99
12/13 - 12/19: 0 / 99
12/20 - 12/26: 0 / 99
12/27 - 01/02: 1 / 100
1930 had two storms for the season. The last one became a TS on 08/31.
1914 only had one storm - thus the first and the last storm of that season.
1954 - the second 'ALICE' of the season became a TS on 12/30 and remained a named storm through 01/06/55.
1993 and 2002 are recent examples of seasons that ended in September.
1984 and 2003 are recent examples of seasons that ended in December.
Don't know if any of this will really be of much help to you when it comes to deciding on when the last storm of this season will happen. Statistically the season ends between October 11th and October 24th.
My own SWAG for this year? - Well I'll pick November 11th
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