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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Kevin
Weather Master

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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida

Pretty impressive
Thu Jul 29 2004 12:23 PM

Looks like things are going to get busy near the U.S. during this weekend and during the upcoming week.

99L doesn't have a circulation at the surface yet, and that is its biggest problem. If you think the system looks good now, wait until the shear subsides even more. All of the models are forecasting a decrease in shear near the SE Coast. I'd say that we are going to probably see development out of this. It just needs some time to develop a surface circ. I think the conditions favor this scenario. I guess track could be interesting too. Gut feeling says NW with an eventual brush with coastal NC, but things get interesting (and tough to figure out) if the system stalls towards the latter part of the weekend.

The gom system is showing life as well. The thunderstorm activity in the southeastern Gulf is already becoming stronger. I think the first test for this system is nighttime persistence. If it persists overnight, then I can really see things starting to roll tomorrow. The upper-level winds also look favorable.

Alex and Bonnie within a few days? Don't rule it out. Heck, we could even see Charley by Monday if believe in the African development that the GFS is showing.

not much longer...

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	MikeC	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:23 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Anonymous	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:20 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:15 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	LI Phil	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:25 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	caneman	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:39 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	joepub1	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:10 AM
There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:20 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:28 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	doug	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:36 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	LI Phil	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:50 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:13 PM
Pretty impressive	Kevin	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:23 PM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	Tropics Guy	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:18 PM
Models	LI Phil	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:24 PM
Re: Models	Kevin	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:36 PM
Re: There is something BIG east of the Bahamas!	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:22 PM
99L	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:16 PM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:10 PM
real quietly watching both systems...	bobbi	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:49 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:25 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:26 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	joepub1	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:31 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:33 AM
Re: There is something BIg east of the Bahamas!	joepub1	Thu Jul 29 2004 11:23 AM
Is There Something Brewing in the Gulf ?	teal61	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 29 2004 10:45 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Old Sailor	Tue Jul 27 2004 10:33 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Steve	Tue Jul 27 2004 10:50 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:56 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	LoisCane	Wed Jul 28 2004 07:37 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:46 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	doug	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:35 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:52 AM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Old Sailor	Wed Jul 28 2004 12:49 PM
Re: Is There Something Brewing East of Bahamas?	Anonymous	Wed Jul 28 2004 01:12 PM
Discussion	Rob_M	Wed Jul 28 2004 02:42 PM
beautiful analysis Mr. Mann	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 03:47 PM
Re: Discussion	Cycloneye	Wed Jul 28 2004 03:11 PM
Re: Discussion	Rob_M	Wed Jul 28 2004 07:19 PM
Re: Florida weather	doug	Wed Jul 28 2004 03:26 PM
face to face observation	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 04:00 PM
my analysis	Rabbit	Wed Jul 28 2004 04:41 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:15 PM
Re: my analysis	Anonymous	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:31 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:41 PM
TWO	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:46 PM
Re: TWO	Rich B	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:51 PM
suspicion	HanKFranK	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:05 PM
Re: TWO	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:01 PM
do not try this while alone	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 06:05 PM
Illin' all day	LI Phil	Wed Jul 28 2004 07:12 PM
Re: Illin' all day	Old Sailor	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:31 PM
umbrellas in florida	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:02 PM
Re: umbrellas in florida	DustDuchess	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:45 PM
Alligators on a leash...	LI Phil	Wed Jul 28 2004 08:15 PM
Re: Alligators on a leash...	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 28 2004 10:55 PM
Recovery of an Earlier Post	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 28 2004 11:02 PM
Potential?	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 06:05 AM
Re: Potential?	Rich B	Thu Jul 29 2004 06:33 AM
Re: Potential?	LoisCane	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:09 AM
Re: Potential?	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:23 AM
question...	LoisCane	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:40 AM
Re: question...	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 07:51 AM
Bahamian System	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 08:46 AM
Re: Bahamian System	doug	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:02 AM
Re: Bahamian System	James88	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:08 AM
Re: Bahamian System	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 29 2004 09:00 AM
99L invest for east of Bahamas	Cycloneye	Thu Jul 29 2004 08:52 AM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Alex K	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:24 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:34 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Steve hirsch.	Thu Jul 29 2004 12:37 PM
what happens if it doesnt move in the near term?	bobbi	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:10 PM
Keys comment	bobbi	Thu Jul 29 2004 02:56 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Anonymous	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:05 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	Kevin	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:06 PM
Re: 99L invest for east of Bahamas	rmbjoe1954	Thu Jul 29 2004 01:10 PM
Re: TWO	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:50 PM
Re: my analysis	DroopGB31	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:38 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:45 PM
Re: my analysis	Steve hirsch.	Wed Jul 28 2004 05:30 PM
IF	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:57 AM
Re: IF	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 10:11 AM
Re: IF	Steve	Wed Jul 28 2004 10:45 AM
Re: IF	James88	Wed Jul 28 2004 11:39 AM
Cape Verde Season	rmbjoe1954	Wed Jul 28 2004 11:44 AM
NHC not into playing Fantasy Hurricane	bobbi	Wed Jul 28 2004 12:10 PM
Is the SAL fading a bit in Atlantic?	Cycloneye	Wed Jul 28 2004 09:04 AM

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