Bastardi has chimed in with his 3rd post of the day and should prove interesting for all you south of Tampa and east of there.
He notes the pressure falling (latest recon has it at 964mb) and that the frictional effects should begin to pull it more toward the coast (with landfall POSSIBLY even south of Venice). The explanation is that a storm moving toward a coastline from the western side will weaken the front side of the storm (NE) leaving the back "abnormally strong." This results in a replacement vector that tries to bring the storm inland until it resumes its expected path. Then the storm would run north (paralleling the coast) until it feels the water on the other side. This could mean east of Jacksonville then back in near Charleston or possibly farther north. While the TPC makes it extratropical after 48 hours, he's thinking easy shot at Cat 1 or even Cat 2 for a 2nd landfall in the Carolinas. Down the line, Chesapeake Bay/DelMarVa, eastern PA (which Joe believes will have very bad effects), NYC and on up. He also gave a headsup on his tropical update video today that folks in NJ/NY are in for a show today with rainfall amounts up to 4" in places and the shot at some pretty strong sustained winds. Last check on Bonnie's remnants had her near the NC/VA Border and headnig North fast.
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