Frances she shall be. Numerical models now leaning to more of a stairstep path for Frances with a turn back to the west well before the islands, a few even forcing her to the south a little at 5 days. Islands need to stay alert for a surprise, the battle of the models for the hearts and minds of the NHC forecasters has started.......I see a more westward path myself. 20N 60W is possible, and storms that come in under that mark can spell trouble for the mainland down the road.
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