A small cdo has formed over the last few hours. With perfect outflow on the west,southwest,northwestern quads. While the storm still has only poor to fair outflow on the eastern quad. Also to note is a small pin point hole forming around 12.3/42 at this hour moving west with a every so slightly north of west. Nrl information also sees kind of a eye like future but is not closed as of this moment.
One thing is remember what a storm named Isabel, did once it got loose of the trough last year. What happen is it went under a ridge of high pressure. Then the eastern quad of the storm had the back side of the trough to make a nice outflow channel. This also happen with Floyd and Andrew with many other big storm in the past. If the trough catchs this system in looses it. Then watch out. If the trough doe's not catch it then this system will move more westward at around 18 to 20 mph. Just to fast for it to get to strong that fast. In would likely not have the nearly the enviroment to bomb as if the trough catchs it. The last few runs of the gfs has been for more westward. So we will see what happens.
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