TS Frances remains at this category for the 11:00 update. A lot of good posts, so I'll be brief. Frances has excellent satellite signature, with pretty strong convection...and an eye...which would seem to put her at very close to Hurricane strength...would think that she will be at 5:00. She's over very warm water and in a low-shear environment, so it's not hard to argue that further strengthening will occur.
Way way to early to tell where she'll go, but this has the classic CV Hattaras look to it. All depends upon how deep and how strong the trof gets, and then whether she can duck under the developing ridge further west. This could be a huge headache for the entire East Coast late next week into the holiday weekend. I would not discount this becoming a major cane as it takes aim at the coast...
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 40226
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center