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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Hurric
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 114
Loc: Port St. Lucie, Fl
Re: Frances
      Sun Aug 29 2004 07:11 PM

For those in the east central Florida area, Melbourne NWS discussion this afternoon has an interesting long range portion.
THU-SUN...FORECAST IS VERY HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON TRACK AND SPEED OF
VERY POWERFUL HURRICANE FRANCES. LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK CONTINUES TO
BRING FRANCES ACROSS THE BAHAMAS THEN ACROSS CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN FL
LABOR DAY WEEKEND. BUT CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW IN THIS EXACT
FORECAST. KEEP IN MIND THE AVG TRACK ERROR FOR DAY 5 IS 325 NAUTICAL
MILES. NONETHELESS...AS EXPECTED FRANCES HAS BENT MORE TO THE WEST
TODAY DUE TO UPPER RIDGE BUILDING NORTH OF IT. THIS RIDGING IS
EXPECTED TO STEER FRANCES W/NW FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...THEN
POSSIBLY WEAKEN WHICH WOULD ALLOW A MORE N/NW MOTION. DEPENDING ON
HOW FAST THE UPPER RIDGING ERODES...IT COULD TURN FRANCES TO OUR
EAST OR BRING IT DANGEROUSLY CLOSE TO BREVARD COUNTY AS THE 12Z
UKMET AND GFS DO. FOR NOW...WILL FOLLOW OFFICAL FORECAST WHICH
BRINGS FRANCES ONSHORE NEAR JUPITER INLET. PERSONS IN EAST CENTRAL
FL SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.

Hurric

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Gaston Strengthens while Frances Moves Westward MikeCAdministrator Sun Aug 29 2004 07:11 PM
. * * We have TS Hermine Jamiewx   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:01 PM
. * * Frances 5 pm Discussion Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:13 PM
. * * Re:SITE John C   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:52 PM
. * * Re:SITE Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re:SITE Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:51 PM
. * * Re:SITE Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:56 PM
. * * Re:SITE Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:03 PM
. * * Re:SITE Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:10 PM
. * * Re:SITE HCW   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:13 PM
. * * Re:Plan of the Day danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:59 PM
. * * We have HERMINE MikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Gaston Strengthens while Frances Moves Westward jlauderdal   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:28 PM
. * * NRL has Gaston at 60Kts and 991mb bloodstar   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:27 AM
. * * Re: winds at 70? john03   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:52 AM
. * * which way? john03   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:03 AM
. * * Re: which way? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:05 AM
. * * Re: NRL has Gaston at 60Kts and 991mb danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:44 AM
. * * Frances-One For the Record Book rmbjoe1954   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:07 AM
. * * Re: Frances-One For the Record Book danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:23 AM
. * * Re: Frances-One For the Record Book rmbjoe1954   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:29 AM
. * * Re: Take a look here danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Take a look here rmbjoe1954   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:24 AM
. * * gaston... mikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:49 AM
. * * Re: gaston... danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:02 AM
. * * Frances RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:01 AM
. * * Re: Frances EMS   Sun Aug 29 2004 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Frances LadyStorm   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:09 AM
. * * Re: Frances Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:03 AM
. * * Re: Frances LadyStorm   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:13 AM
. * * Re: Frances GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Frances HCW   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Frances HCW   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Frances Kevin   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Frances Clark   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Frances cat   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Frances Clark   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Frances cat   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:32 PM
. * * GOM rickonboat   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:19 PM
. * * glad sight is back up LoisCane   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:37 PM
. * * Re: glad sight is back up Kevin   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Re: glad sight is back up Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Glad sight is back up Maitland, FL   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Frances MikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Frances rickonboat   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:53 PM
. * * Frances WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Frances LBlack   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Frances Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances Cocoa Beach   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Frances Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Frances Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances Hurric   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Frances BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Frances Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Frances BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Frances Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Frances ShaggyDude   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Frances Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Frances Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Frances WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Frances danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Frances Jeanine   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Frances GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Being sarcastic here. J/K around Robert   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Being sarcastic here. J/K around melissa1211   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Frances Maitalnd, FL   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Frances Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Frances Wxwatcher2   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances Maitland, FL   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Frances Redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Frances LBlack   Sun Aug 29 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Frances Maitland, FL   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:49 PM
. * * Re: glad sight is back up redbird   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Frances mikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Frances Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Frances anony   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Frances Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:57 PM
. * * moving west now.. rickonboat   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:55 PM
. * * Re: moving west now.. Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:00 PM
. * * Re: moving west now.. Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:37 PM
. * * Re: moving west now.. BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:35 PM
. * * Re: moving west now.. Clark   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:50 PM
. * * Re: moving west now.. BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Frances HCW   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Frances HanKFranK   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Frances troy2   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Frances RevRandy   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Frances GRFLA   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:58 PM
. * * overall tropics Rabbit   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:20 PM
. * * Re: overall tropics scottsvb1   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:33 PM
. * * 08L.NONAME Rabbit   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:37 PM
. * * Re: 08L.NONAME Clark   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:06 PM
. * * Re: 08L.NONAME Rabbit-logout   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:17 PM
. * * Re: 08L.NONAME Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:18 PM
. * * Re: 08L.NONAME James88   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:14 PM
. * * Re: 08L.NONAME Ed in Va   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:42 PM
. * * Re: overall tropics Keith234   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Frances HCW   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:56 PM
. * * Re: Frances Ricreig   Sun Aug 29 2004 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Frances danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:08 AM
. * * Re: Frances Hurric   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:33 AM
. * * Gaston Weather zacros   Sun Aug 29 2004 06:44 AM
. * * Re: Frances-One For the Record Book mikeG   Sun Aug 29 2004 05:18 AM
. * * Evening... LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Evening... Ricreig   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:59 PM
. * * GFS track... LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Evening... javlin   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Evening... LI Phil   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Evening... meto   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:07 PM
. * * Historical comparisons to Frances LoisCane   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Historical comparisons to Frances SC Bill   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Historical comparisons to Frances danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Forecast Advisory danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Forecasted slowdown in forward speed LoisCane   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:18 PM
. * * ps... gfdl LoisCane   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:45 PM
. * * Re: ps... gfdl Steve   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Hard to follow that danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Heads up for Florida danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Heads up for Florida javlin   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:05 AM
. * * Next recon? JayBB   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Next recon? BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:27 AM
. * * Re: Next recon? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:41 AM
. * * Re: Gaston update danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:09 AM
. * * Re: Gaston update HanKFranK   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:21 AM
. * * Re: Night Owl danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Next recon? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Gaston Weather2   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:51 AM
. * * Re: Heads up for Florida Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 12:56 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:06 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:19 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge Wxwatcher2   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:34 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:56 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge javlin   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:43 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge palmetto   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:03 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge Frank P   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:06 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge BillD   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:43 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge palmetto   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:10 AM
. * * Re: Names danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 02:08 AM
. * * Re: E Carib. ridge danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Sat loops danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 29 2004 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Forecast Advisory JustMe   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Forecast Advisory FlaRebel   Sat Aug 28 2004 11:16 PM
. * * Recon zacros   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Evening... zacros   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:53 PM
. * * Curious thought from an Idle mind DMFischer   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Curious thought from an Idle mind VolusiaMike   Sat Aug 28 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Curious thought from an Idle mind Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Curious thought from an Idle mind Storm Cooper   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Curious thought from an Idle mind Frank P   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Curious thought from an Idle mind Storm Cooper   Sat Aug 28 2004 10:15 PM
. * * UKMET WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Aug 28 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Gaston Strengthens while Frances Moves Westward Storm Cooper   Sat Aug 28 2004 07:58 PM

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