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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: recon
      Wed Sep 01 2004 04:03 AM

This one is for rickonboat. Hey Rick, check out the 00z run for the UK Met. Heh. It's a SFL hit followed by an "INTENSE" hit around Mobile Bay.

UK MET

As for the slowdown stall scenarios, that's bad stuff. That would promote some of the worst tidal flooding and storm surge in memory (both coasts).

Bastardi posted early (or is it late?) this morning. He's narrowed his landfall from St. Simeon Island to his prior ideas (NC). He just doesn't see the setup for the FL track, but it's almost like he's being stubborn. I guess I'm not one to talk since I have a landfall just a few hundreds miles south of his. He thinks the keys are 1) where Frances comes up in relation to the Bahamas (should it stay east, it's a farther up storm) and 2) Climo and the difficulty of hitting that part of Florida from the SE. Next setup (post Frances) should feature a backing trof (based on the ideas of Sondgra trending west with a retrograding ridge in the WPAC) and a high centered around 35-70/75 (Andrew setup). But there's nothing heavyduty in the pipeline so hopefully we'll escape that pattern.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Frances Approaches the Southeastern Bahamas MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 01 2004 04:03 AM
. * * Stair stepping back west? Bloodstar   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:55 AM
. * * Re: eyewall replacement? mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:58 AM
. * * Forecast discussion -- Frances Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:18 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances jlauderdal   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances alan   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:29 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances Bloodstar   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances alan   Wed Sep 01 2004 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Forecast discussion -- Frances mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:47 AM
. * * Re: Headings danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:45 AM
. * * interesting john03   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:42 AM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 03:08 AM
. * * Re: recon Steve   Wed Sep 01 2004 04:03 AM
. * * Hebert's box/square misinformation Brad   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Hebert's box/square misinformation Brad   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:00 AM
. * * Latest GFS..... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... joepub1   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:26 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... joepub1   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... N. Brevard   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Bev   Wed Sep 01 2004 03:01 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... joepub1   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Pam in Vero   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:52 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... cyclone_head   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:42 AM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:05 AM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:07 AM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 02:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Models john03   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:29 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... javlin   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... WeatherNLU   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... rjp   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Latest GFS..... Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Hebert's box/square misinformation AgentB   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Hebert's box/square misinformation Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Hebert's box/square misinformation DroopGB31   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaches the Southeastern Bahamas LI Phil   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaches the Southeastern Bahamas LI Phil   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Frances Approaches the Southeastern Bahamas HurriK   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:20 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances javlin   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:32 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances BillD   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances DroopGB31   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances ShaggyDude   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:45 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances BillD   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:53 PM
. * * 11pm Stewart Discussion Justin in Miami   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans sullynole   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans DroopGB31   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans DroopGB31   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Watches / Warnings Justin in Miami   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans scottsvb1   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans scottsvb1   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans wxman007   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Stewart fans SirCane   Tue Aug 31 2004 11:58 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances wxman007   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Stacey's Fan Club... LI Phil   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Stacey's Fan Club... ShaggyDude   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:56 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances wxman007   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances ShaggyDude   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances BillD   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re:War of the World's:ULL vs Frances ShaggyDude   Tue Aug 31 2004 10:47 PM

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