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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 211 (Idalia) , Major: 211 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 211 (Idalia) Major: 211 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
11:00 will be telling...
      Wed Sep 01 2004 09:21 PM

I think that if NHC decides to issue watches at 11:00, they're pretty sure it's a FL hit. If there are no watches, they're either unsure of landfall OR may have it making the northward turn.

I'd still stick with the official track, and whatever track they have progged at 11:00.

I'm not going to issue the sure-to-be-crow-munching forecast tonight. Far too much uncertainty still...gut says Nward turn but realistically (for now) somewhere in the Melbourne area (sorry Ed). This is one of the most difficult to forecast storms I've ever seen...especially for a CV storm, which are usually fairly predictable. Hope all you floridians are prepped and ready to evac if told to do so, and that your dwellings are as protected as can be. Hopefully it will all be for naught.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Frances in the Evening MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 01 2004 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Neptune   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening 52255225   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening spook   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Mooshie-SC   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:20 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... MIkeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:25 PM
. * * wobbles, eyewall stunts HanKFranK   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts rickonboat   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:38 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts WeatherNLU   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:39 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: wobbles, eyewall stunts Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:26 PM
. * * 11:00 will be telling... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:21 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:41 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Brett Adair   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Dropsondes.... Big Lot Specials next month Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:29 PM
. * * 11pm Discussion Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes BabyCat   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:45 PM
. * * Outflow Improving recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:58 PM
. * * WOW...see comments... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:35 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:51 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... Redbird   Thu Sep 02 2004 07:19 AM
. * * New Thread John C   Thu Sep 02 2004 07:24 AM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... meto   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:34 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:29 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: WOW...see comments... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving Seele   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Outflow Improving scottsvb1   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Melbourne Weather Statement recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Melbourne Weather Statement RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:31 PM
. * * Three Key Statements from Stewart..... did you catch em Florida Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Now it's a tad more clear... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Now it's a tad more clear... Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Now it's a tad more clear... Bev   Wed Sep 01 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Now it's a tad more clear... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Dropsondes ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:32 PM
. * * Watches WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:24 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:51 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:43 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RockledgeRick   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:52 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:49 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:03 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:05 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... StormHound   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:00 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:07 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... RevUp   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... Rasvar   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 will be telling... nppam   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:05 PM
. * * Pretty good loop... teal61   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:14 PM
. * * Excellent forecast from Gary Gray Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:32 PM
. * * from left field HanKFranK   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:12 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:47 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:31 PM
. * * Re: best sat ever seen... Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening HCW   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Still no Hurricane Watch for South FL BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Duval County and St. Johns County Neptune   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Duval County and St. Johns County kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Duval County and St. Johns County ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Humanriff   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Wxwatcher2   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Re: whats up with link? fred08   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Janill   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Heather   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening bobbi   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening luki   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening john03   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Tarpon   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening spook   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Tarpon   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening andy1tom   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:39 PM
. * * GFDL Doombot!   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:46 PM
. * * Models SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: GFDL teal61   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Doombot!   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:09 PM
. * * Re: GFDL wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Shawn W.   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:13 PM
. * * Re: GFDL annon.   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:18 PM
. * * Re: GFDL rjp   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Palm Beach County WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:07 PM
. * * Re: GFDL spook   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: GFDL BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:18 PM
. * * For all you Wobble Watchers Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:23 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:36 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:40 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers CantoreFan   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers eligrace   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Cantore LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers Keith234   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:56 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers recmod   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy zacros   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy nppam   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy Clark   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy MikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Models Converge and Diverge - I'm dizzy PFSThunder   Wed Sep 01 2004 10:08 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: For all you Wobble Watchers ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:31 PM
. * * A request & A challenge... LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:53 PM
. * * Frances WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Frances Kevin   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Frances andy1tom   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Frances ShaggyDude   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening 52255225   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening JeffSD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Humanriff   Wed Sep 01 2004 08:15 PM
. * * won't get in the gulf with this one... rickonboat   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Cat 5 Rick Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: won't get in the gulf with this one... 52255225   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:52 PM
. * * Re: won't get in the gulf with this one... Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:37 PM
. * * Eyewall Doombot!   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Eyewall BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening HanKFranK   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening InitinORL   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening BillD   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening WeatherWoman   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SoonerShawn   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Chad   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Hurricane Audio... wxman007   Wed Sep 01 2004 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening fred08   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:37 PM
. * * Re: recon mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Colleen A.   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Robert   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening andy1tom   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Jeffmidtown   Wed Sep 01 2004 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening mikeG   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Frank P   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening LI Phil   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Alex K.   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Upon further review... Kevin   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening kelcot   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening DroopGB31   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:23 PM

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