Hurricane Watches are up from Florida City (in extreme south mainland Florida) to Flagler Beach (Including Lake Okechobee)-- Topical Storm watch for the northern Keys. This means that hurricane conditions may be felt within 36 hours. A hurricane Warning may be issued sometime tomorrow for a more specific area.
Hurricane Warnings are up for all of the Bahama Islands as well.
The image below is based on the NHCs track, deviations may occur! Thanks skeetobite
The hurricane is still a strong category four storm, and the forecast track of Frances remains similar to the last track. If I would pick a model based on performance, it would be the Nogaps. However, confidence is still not where I'd like it. Again, the track remains mostly the same as the previous one... the hint in the 11PM NHC Discussion is that it may go more west. Mainly because of the high altitude Gulf Stream IV Jet's contributions to model initializations. The discussion is a good read this evening. It is not good for Florida.
Follow local instructions from media and officials in your area if affected, you may also want to view the popup advisory main page to see local storm statements.
Scenes repeated all over East Florida:
Line for Plywood
Lack of water
(Images from "Haggins")
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
It may take some time for the statements to propigate.
Local county by county information will no longer be updated unles there is breaking news here. Use the links in the last article to view county emergency management webpages. Florida Disaster.org is the state em page, with links to locals as well.
Definitely more to come later...
Jim Williams over at Hurricane City will be doing live broadcasts about Hurricane Frances startiing tonight at 8PM EST.
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