Hi everybody! This will be my only chance to post until late. Frances is now stationary on satellite imagery, and the 18Z GFS is now west of current guidance with Frances re-emerging in the GOM and 2nd landfall projected to be near Appalachicola. Recent recon data shows Frances continuing to weaken as shear is evident on her west and southwest side and water vapor shows very dry air to her northwest. All that said, she's looking better on imagery and becoming more symmetrical. Frances going stationary changes things in the short term and depending on who's corner you're in; this isn't a good sign if she gets over the Gulf stream and stays for awhile. It's apparent the ridge to her north and northwest is strong given the water vapor imagery. Difficult to know now whether we're looking at something similar to Opal in 95, and whether it's possible we could see Frances bomb given the high oceanic heat she'll have at her disposal. Yall have a good evening, and prayers are with all along the FL coast tonight.
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