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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4542
Loc: Orlando, FL
Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica
      Fri Sep 10 2004 04:43 PM

Jim Williams and his Hurricane City Broadcast from 8PM till 11PM and running radio from Jamaica at other times... -- Link to Real Audio -- updated!
Let Jim know where you are from.. Use this link to listen

8PM Update
Hurricane Winds are up to 150MPH at 8PM, pressure is 926mb. Jamaica is in its sights. Many have not evacuated there (From radio reports) so the chance of loss of life is high. It's getting too late to do so now as winds are starting to pick up there. Good luck Jamaica!
Jamaica News
CocoLaPalm, Negril, Jamaica Webcam

7PM Update
Recond has found a pressure reading of 927 MB, down from the 937 at the 5PM advisory, which indicates Ivan is gaining strength.

Original Update
Hurricane Ivan remains a category 4 system as it approaches Jamaica, the current forecast keeps it a Category 4 as it nears the coast. The eye of Ivan looked ragged earlier today, but now it has shown itself again so it may strengthen again. The wind speed, however, is down slightly to 140MPH. Ivan has slowed a little so it may be overnight before Jamaica sees the worst of it. And the forecast track has Ivan going in along the western edge of Jamaica, leaving the northeast side (usually the worst side of the storm) to go across most of Jamaica.



To those in Jamaica, again prayers and best of luck go to you. This will be the strongest storm you have dealt with directly in many years.



After Jamaica, Hurricane Ivan is still expected to cross into Cuba and near the west coast of Florida. Unfortunately, even at 5PM, the future track beyond 5PM is uncertain. The official track is the same as earlier, and the National Hurricane Center mentions a possibility that they may shift their track west a bit tonight, which would mean more for the panhandle and for the other northern Gulf coast states.

Again this graphic is prone to large error.


More will come later.

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Event RelatedLinks
Jamaican Radar (long and short range)
Jamaican Weather Service
Stormcarib personal reports from Jamaica
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Nice color satellite image
Animated Color Ivan Satellite (With NHC Track Overlay)
(Animated Version)
High Speed Satellite Loops (Click floater)
Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Tampa. Miami, Key West, Tallahassee.
Melbourne
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
Key West (Florida Keys)Long Range Radar Loop

General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps
Current Aircraft Recon Info

Disaster Relief Information

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 10 2004 04:43 PM
. * * Ivan core may miss Jamaica berrywr   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Maps SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica ShanaTX   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MO stormspotter   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica TLHJeff   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:02 PM
. * * ivan/little else HanKFranK   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:22 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:13 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else sullynole   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:22 PM
. * * Steve Jerve & VIPIR Model Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Steve Jerve & VIPIR Model rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:48 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:25 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else sullynole   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:56 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:05 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else ThirdRay   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:49 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:54 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:59 PM
. * * Just an FYI wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Just an FYI ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:15 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:59 PM
. * * pressure drop MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:52 PM
. * * Re: pressure drop MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:53 PM
. * * Re: pressure drop ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:53 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:51 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:15 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else HCW   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:41 PM
. * * Forecast tracks/Model Tracks... wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:48 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:45 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else BillD   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:11 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else Heather   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:49 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else DroopGB31   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:57 PM
. * * Meteorology vs. Psychology Bev   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology BillD   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology Rasvar   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:27 PM
. * * Tom Terry Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Tom Terry kelcot   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Tom Terry Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Tom Terry ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Tom Terry Jeffmidtown   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Tom Terry rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:36 PM
. * * Question SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Question MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Question danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:51 PM
. * * Didn't see this till now... LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... Keith234   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:31 PM
. * * Orlando getting hurricane winds? Hurricaned   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:25 PM
. * * JB Jamiewx   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:16 PM
. * * Re: JB ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Felix   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations LindaG   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Felix   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations DroopGB31   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:41 PM
. * * 11:00 Discussion rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:47 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 Discussion HMY   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:51 PM
. * * Probabilities will go up along the entire Fl coast over time Frank P   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:03 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 Discussion Rasvar   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:02 PM
. * * Re: 11:00 Discussion LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:03 PM
. * * Use The New Thread Please Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:12 PM
. * * NEW THREAD LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:04 PM
. * * Trough SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:10 PM
. * * devastation Rasvar   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: devastation danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: devastation Frank P   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:30 PM
. * * Re: devastation rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:44 PM
. * * Re: devastation tazmanian93   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:07 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Update MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Ivan Update ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:09 PM
. * * Re: devastation h2ocean   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: devastation BillD   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: devastation Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: devastation LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:19 PM
. * * Re: devastation rd522525   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: devastation kelcot   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:28 PM
. * * Re: devastation LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Re: devastation 52255225   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Re: devastation kelcot   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:30 PM
. * * Re: devastation TinaLee   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:32 PM
. * * Re: devastation h2ocean   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:23 PM
. * * Re: devastation MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:33 PM
. * * Re: devastation troy   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Re: devastation richiesurfs   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Tom Terry TinaLee   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:29 PM
. * * Re: devastation h2ocean   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Question danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Question LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Question DroopGB31   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:04 PM
. * * Looters and other pleasant folk LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Looters and other pleasant folk danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Looters and other pleasant folk MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: devastation kelcot   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Question HCW   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Hang on Jamaica rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology DroopGB31   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology StormHound   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Last GFS 18 UTC RBL   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Last GFS 18 UTC ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: And now back to Ivan danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology Heather   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:10 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Site Problems/WV Loops LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:49 PM
. * * Stronger Ivan ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 07:55 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica AgentB   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:04 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica G8R   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Frank P   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Terra   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica GaryC   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:03 PM
. * * Hail? LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Hail? wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Hail? LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Hail? wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:22 PM
. * * Kingston Call Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Hail? MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:24 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:40 PM
. * * Models Changes Timothy   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:48 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShanaTX   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:07 PM
. * * back on track rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Meto SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Meto tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:34 PM
. * * Ivan SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Ivan MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:23 PM
. * * By the way... SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Hail? LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Hail? rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica G8R   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:18 PM
. * * THANK YOU ALL belleami   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Cane Watcher   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica alley   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Cane Watcher   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Mozart   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:59 PM
. * * E-mail advisories... wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 04:47 PM

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