THE WEAK TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL LIFT OUT OUT AND LEAVE A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NEAR 85W. ONE WORRISOME FEATURE IS THE APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL TRY TO NUDGE THE STORM A LITTLE CLOSER TO OUR FORECAST AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE LAST THING WE WANT IS FOR IVAN TO SLOW DOWN WITH THIS TROUGH APPROACHING. THE HURRICANE GUIDANCE IS PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH MOVING THE STORM OUT AND NOT TIL IT GETS TO THE NORTHERN GULF DOES IVAN BEGIN TO FEEL THIS TROUGH.
THIS FORECAST DEPENDS ALMOST ENTIRELY ON THE FORECAST TRACK OF IVAN. IF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DEVIATES EVEN A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OR RIGHT IT WILL HAVE A BIG IMPACT. STAY TUNED FOR CHANGES.
-------------------- Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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